Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Ozuna E. ⚽,
- 38', Eggel M. 🟨,
- 42', Ozuna E. 🟨,
- 44', Saccone F. 🟨,
- 45', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Chiozza L. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
- 46', Gerez M. ↓, Sala S. G. ↑,
- 54', Saccone F. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
- 56', Albertengo M. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Palacios P. ⚽,
- 61', Oyola A. I. ↓, Federico T. ↑,
- 71', Ozuna E. ↓, Sambueza R. ↑,
- 74', de la Reta J. 🟨,
- 85', Bonfigli M. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
- 90', Palacios P. ↓, Juarez N. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Maipú
40.6% | Draw
34% | Güemes
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Güemes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Güemes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Maipú - Güemes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.85) |
2.73 ↓
(3) |
3.67 ↓
(4.53) |
7.8%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipú - Güemes?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
- Deportivo Maipú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Güemes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Deportivo Maipú could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Maipú won against Güemes?
Deportivo Maipú has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Güemes won against Deportivo Maipú?
Güemes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maipú - Güemes were as follows:
23.03.2025
Güemes
-
Deportivo Maipú
1:1
07.09.2024
Güemes
-
Deportivo Maipú
4:0
22.04.2024
Deportivo Maipú
-
Güemes
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
