Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Ozuna E. ⚽,
- 38', Eggel M. 🟨,
- 42', Ozuna E. 🟨,
- 44', Saccone F. 🟨,
- 45', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Chiozza L. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
- 46', Gerez M. ↓, Sala S. G. ↑,
- 54', Saccone F. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
- 56', Albertengo M. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Palacios P. ⚽,
- 61', Oyola A. I. ↓, Federico T. ↑,
- 71', Ozuna E. ↓, Sambueza R. ↑,
- 74', de la Reta J. 🟨,
- 85', Bonfigli M. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
- 90', Palacios P. ↓, Juarez N. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Maipú
40.6% | Draw
34% | Güemes
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Güemes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Güemes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Maipú - Güemes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.85) |
2.73 ↓
(3) |
3.67 ↓
(4.53) |
7.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipú - Güemes?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
- Deportivo Maipú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Güemes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Deportivo Maipú could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Maipú won against Güemes?
Deportivo Maipú has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Güemes won against Deportivo Maipú?
Güemes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maipú - Güemes were as follows:
23.03.2025
Güemes
-
Deportivo Maipú
1:1
07.09.2024
Güemes
-
Deportivo Maipú
4:0
22.04.2024
Deportivo Maipú
-
Güemes
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | 0 : 0 |
