Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Ozuna E. ⚽,
- 38', Eggel M. 🟨,
- 42', Ozuna E. 🟨,
- 44', Saccone F. 🟨,
- 45', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Chiozza L. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
- 46', Gerez M. ↓, Sala S. G. ↑,
- 54', Saccone F. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
- 56', Albertengo M. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Palacios P. ⚽,
- 61', Oyola A. I. ↓, Federico T. ↑,
- 71', Ozuna E. ↓, Sambueza R. ↑,
- 74', de la Reta J. 🟨,
- 85', Bonfigli M. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
- 90', Palacios P. ↓, Juarez N. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Maipú
40.6% | Draw
34% | Güemes
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Güemes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Güemes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Maipú - Güemes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.85) |
2.73 ↓
(3) |
3.67 ↓
(4.53) |
7.8%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipú - Güemes?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
- Deportivo Maipú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Güemes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Deportivo Maipú could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Maipú won against Güemes?
Deportivo Maipú has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Güemes won against Deportivo Maipú?
Güemes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maipú - Güemes were as follows:
23.03.2025
Güemes
-
Deportivo Maipú
1:1
07.09.2024
Güemes
-
Deportivo Maipú
4:0
22.04.2024
Deportivo Maipú
-
Güemes
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Patronato | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Almagro | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Ferro | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 28:12 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28:19 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Temperley | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 17:19 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Def. de Belgrano | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 28 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9:30 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
