Deportivo Maipú vs Güemes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Ozuna E. ,
  • 38', Eggel M. 🟨,
  • 42', Ozuna E. 🟨,
  • 44', Saccone F. 🟨,
  • 45', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Chiozza L. , Veliz D. ,
  • 46', Gerez M. , Sala S. G. ,
  • 54', Saccone F. , Silva T. ,
  • 56', Albertengo M. , Lesman G. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Palacios P. ,
  • 61', Oyola A. I. , Federico T. ,
  • 71', Ozuna E. , Sambueza R. ,
  • 74', de la Reta J. 🟨,
  • 85', Bonfigli M. , Sandoval I. ,
  • 90', Palacios P. , Juarez N. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maipú
40.6%
Draw
34%
Güemes
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 30.4% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 32% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.
  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Güemes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Güemes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Maipú - Güemes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.85)
    2.73
    (3)
    3.67
    (4.53)
    7.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipú - Güemes?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Güemes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Deportivo Maipú could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maipú - Güemes were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Güemes - Deportivo Maipú 1:1
    07.09.2024 Güemes - Deportivo Maipú 4:0
    22.04.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Güemes 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Latest results of Güemes
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron532010:4611
    2Racing Cordoba53115:5010
    3Def. de Belgrano52305:239
    4Acassuso53028:629
    5San Miguel52216:428
    6Almirante Brown52214:318
    7Colon Santa Fe52215:508
    8Godoy Cruz51405:417
    9All Boys52124:407
    10Los Andes51313:216
    11CA Mitre51313:306
    12Deportivo Madryn51225:415
    13Ciudad Bolivar50503:305
    14San Telmo51228:9-15
    15Ferro51225:6-15
    16Central Norte51221:3-25
    17Chaco For Ever50235:10-52
    18CA Estudiantes50050:8-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nueva Chicago53116:3310
    2Gimnasia y Tiro53117:5210
    3Atl. Rafaela53114:2210
    4Tristan Suarez52306:249
    5San Martin T52306:339
    6Gimnasia Jujuy53026:8-29
    7Midland52215:328
    8Temperley52213:218
    9Atletico Atlanta52125:417
    10Agropecuario52125:507
    11San Martin S.J51225:6-15
    12Club A. Guemes51225:6-15
    13Patronato51223:5-25
    14Almagro51222:4-25
    15Quilmes51133:304
    16Chacarita Juniors51135:7-24
    17Deportivo Maipu51136:9-34
    18Colegiales51043:8-53

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation