Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
20/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Disney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Disney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
63
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
614
Corner kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 34', Piegas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Segovia D. , Freitas A. ,
  • 54', Fuica N. 🟨,
  • 61', Freitas A. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Pandiani A. ,
  • 64', Correa L. 🟨,
  • 64', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
  • 72', Tabo C. , Lopez G. ,
  • 73', Noble Sequeira A. M. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 77', Anasco M. , Hernandez B. ,
  • 77', Viera G. , Pou J. ,
  • 81', Piegas A. , Ramos N. ,
  • 81', Vila A. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 87', Fracchia M. , Jourdan E. ,
  • 87', Pandiani A. , Franca S. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Daguerre D. ,
  • 90', Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 3 - 1, Correa T. ,

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
27.8%
Draw
30.6%
Deportivo Maldonado
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 31.9% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 31.5% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Maldonado's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Maldonado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.76)
    3.06
    (2.88)
    2.24
    (2.63)
    7.5%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Maldonado will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Maldonado (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 3.
    • Recent form of Cerro Largo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Maldonado is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maldonado could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 0.9:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado were as follows:
    17.10.2024 Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado 1:0
    13.04.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Cerro Largo 0:1
    06.12.2023 Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado 2:0
    25.06.2023 Deportivo Maldonado - Cerro Largo 0:0
    12.05.2023 Deportivo Maldonado - Cerro Largo 0:0
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo751113:6716
    2Penarol751112:6616
    3Maldonado851212:8416
    4Montevideo City842211:7414
    5Nacional841311:8313
    6Liverpool M833210:8212
    7Danubio732211:10111
    8Central Esp832311:10111
    9Defensor Sp73226:5111
    10Wanderers73226:9-311
    11Cerro Largo83058:11-39
    12Albion72238:808
    13Boston River71243:7-45
    14Progreso71245:11-65
    15Juventud71157:12-54
    16CA Cerro70253:11-82

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