Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
103
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+4', Ginzo J. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Silva G. , Viera S. ,
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Fernandez F. ,
  • 46', Sanchez D. , Copelotti M. ,
  • 55', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', De Leon F. 🟨,
  • 68', Menosse H. 🟨,
  • 68', Lemmo I. , Lopez N. ,
  • 70', Menosse H. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 75', Cesar R. , Lopez G. ,
  • 75', Cartagena S. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 78', Trasante G. , Silva J. ,
  • 84', Tealde F. , Petryk H. ,
  • 84', Tabo C. , Mozzone E. ,
  • 89', Cougo A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maldonado
38.6%
Draw
29.7%
Progreso
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.29)
    3.12
    (3.23)
    2.95
    (2.95)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Progreso will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Maldonado (1.80) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 2 - 50%). Progreso (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1.
    • Progreso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso 2:2
    21.07.2024 Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 0:1
    31.03.2024 Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 3:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1494123:121131
    2Maldonado1482422:15726
    3Albion1474325:16925
    4Penarol1473420:14624
    5Defensor Sp1456312:9321
    6Central Esp1463521:22-121
    7Montevideo City1455420:15520
    8Liverpool M1455420:17320
    9Nacional1461722:21119
    10Danubio1446417:20-318
    11Cerro Largo1452714:16-217
    12Boston River1452713:18-517
    13Wanderers1452715:21-617
    14Juventud1433815:21-612
    15Progreso1424811:21-1010
    16CA Cerro142488:20-1210

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