Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
103
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+4', Ginzo J. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Silva G. , Viera S. ,
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Fernandez F. ,
  • 46', Sanchez D. , Copelotti M. ,
  • 55', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', De Leon F. 🟨,
  • 68', Menosse H. 🟨,
  • 68', Lemmo I. , Lopez N. ,
  • 70', Menosse H. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 75', Cesar R. , Lopez G. ,
  • 75', Cartagena S. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 78', Trasante G. , Silva J. ,
  • 84', Tealde F. , Petryk H. ,
  • 84', Tabo C. , Mozzone E. ,
  • 89', Cougo A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maldonado
38.6%
Draw
29.7%
Progreso
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.29)
    3.12
    (3.23)
    2.95
    (2.95)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Progreso will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Maldonado (1.80) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 2 - 50%). Progreso (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1.
    • Progreso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso 2:2
    21.07.2024 Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 0:1
    31.03.2024 Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 3:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1182120:101026
    2Maldonado1171319:12722
    3Penarol1171317:10722
    4Central Esp1153316:13318
    5Liverpool M1144315:13216
    6Albion1144314:12216
    7Defensor Sp114439:7216
    8Nacional1151516:15116
    9Montevideo City1143414:12215
    10Danubio1135314:15-114
    11Cerro Largo1142513:14-114
    12Wanderers1142512:17-514
    13Boston River113269:13-411
    14CA Cerro112366:15-99
    15Juventud1121810:17-77
    16Progreso111469:18-97

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