Result
3:1
20/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', Piegas A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Segovia D. ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
- 54', Fuica N. 🟨,
- 61', Freitas A. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Pandiani A. ⚽,
- 64', Correa L. 🟨,
- 64', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
- 72', Tabo C. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
- 73', Noble Sequeira A. M. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 77', Anasco M. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 77', Viera G. ↓, Pou J. ↑,
- 81', Piegas A. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
- 81', Vila A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 87', Fracchia M. ↓, Jourdan E. ↑,
- 87', Pandiani A. ↓, Franca S. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Daguerre D. ⚽,
- 90', Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, Correa T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
27.8% | Draw
30.6% | Deportivo Maldonado
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Maldonado's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Maldonado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.76) |
3.06 ↑
(2.88) |
2.24 ↓
(2.63) |
7.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Maldonado will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Maldonado (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 3.
- Recent form of Cerro Largo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Maldonado is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Maldonado could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 0.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Deportivo Maldonado?
Cerro Largo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Maldonado won against Cerro Largo?
Deportivo Maldonado has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado were as follows:
17.10.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
1:0
13.04.2024
Deportivo Maldonado
-
Cerro Largo
0:1
06.12.2023
Cerro Largo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
2:0
25.06.2023
Deportivo Maldonado
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
12.05.2023
Deportivo Maldonado
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Penarol | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
