Deportivo Maldonado vs Defensor Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
70
Corner kicks
33
Yellow cards
15
Red cards
01
Total shots
133
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Cartagena S. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 19', Biscayzacu X. , Wunsch N. ,
  • 20', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 🟨,
  • 33', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 🟨,
  • 40', de los Santos L. 🟨,
  • 44', Tabo C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Frugone A. 🟨,
  • 58', De los Santos G. 🟨,
  • 63', Tormo S. , Mozzone E. ,
  • 63', Ginzo J. M. , Lopez G. ,
  • 72', de los Santos L. , Cuello E. ,
  • 80', Fernandez J. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 80', Espindola M. , Ramos J. ,
  • 88', Machado A. , Bruschi S. ,
  • 88', Montenegro B. , Navarro L. ,
  • 88', Agazzi L. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, Tabo C. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maldonado
42.9%
Draw
29.5%
Defensor Sporting
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 31% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 30.8% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maldonado's performance.
  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensor Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Maldonado that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensor Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.6)
    3.16
    (2.93)
    3.39
    (2.67)
    7.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 2.
    • Maldonado is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Defensor Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Maldonado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado 3:1
    08.06.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting 0:2
    23.03.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting 1:0
    25.11.2023 Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting 2:1
    22.04.2023 Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado 1:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1072118:9923
    2Penarol1071217:8922
    3Maldonado1061315:10519
    4Central Esp1052314:11317
    5Nacional1051414:11316
    6Montevideo City1043314:11315
    7Wanderers1042411:15-414
    8Albion1034313:12113
    9Liverpool M1034313:13013
    10Defensor Sp103437:7013
    11Cerro Largo1041512:13-113
    12Danubio1034312:13-113
    13Boston River103259:11-211
    14CA Cerro102265:14-98
    15Progreso101459:17-87
    16Juventud101189:17-84

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