Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Guatemala Liga Nacional Deportivo Mixco - Aurora
20/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaClaro Sports 2 Latin America

Chances of winning


Deportivo Mixco
56%
Draw
26%
Aurora
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 21.3% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 21.1% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Mixco's form might have worsened.
  • Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Mixco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Mixco - Aurora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.36)
    3.5
    (4.28)
    5.07
    (7.65)
    9.8%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Mixco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aurora is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mixco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mixco is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Deportivo Mixco
    Latest results of Aurora
    18.09.2025 Aurora - Mictlán Postponed
    13.09.2025 Xelajú - Aurora 2:2
    07.09.2025 Aurora - Malacateco 1:0
    30.08.2025 Comunicaciones - Aurora 0:2
    24.08.2025 Aurora - Cobán Imperial 1:1
    Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Antigua1062220:101020
    2Municipal1055017:9820
    3Deportivo Mixco961211:7419
    4Aurora F.C953114:9518
    5Xelaju1143418:14415
    6Deportivo Achuapa933313:11212
    7Coban Imperial1033411:13-212
    8Comunicaciones1132611:17-611
    9Marquense103258:14-611
    10Malacateco1031613:15-210
    11Mictlan92436:8-210
    12Guastatoya101187:22-154

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