Aurora vs Deportivo Achuapa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
guatemalaGuatemalaTigo Sports
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
63
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
63
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
31
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+3', Cardona L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bol E. , de Leon I. ,
  • 46', Motta P. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 46', Cardona L. , Ibarguen E. ,
  • 58', Gonzalez L. , Urias V. ,
  • 65', Carabali Y. 🟨,
  • 68', Martir A. , Sanchez E. ,
  • 73', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 75', Nunez K. , Corado J. ,
  • 82', Castrillo C. , Mejia C. ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 88', Bajan D. , Arevalo J. ,

Chances of winning


Aurora
50.3%
Draw
29.1%
Deportivo Achuapa
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 26.8% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 22% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.71)
    3.16
    (3.42)
    4.47
    (4.64)
    8.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Achuapa (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Achuapa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aurora is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Achuapa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Aurora is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aurora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Deportivo Achuapa - Aurora 2:1
    18.10.2025 Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa 2:1
    10.08.2025 Deportivo Achuapa - Aurora 1:2
    Latest results of Aurora
    22.03.2026 Malacateco - Aurora 1:1
    15.03.2026 Municipal - Aurora 4:1
    11.03.2026 Mictlán - Aurora 2:0
    08.03.2026 Aurora - Xelajú 0:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Achuapa
    Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Comunicaciones19102727:24332
    2Deportivo Mixco1995524:21332
    3Xelaju1986526:161030
    4Antigua1986530:23730
    5Coban Imperial1978425:17829
    6Municipal1985625:20529
    7Marquense1983823:22127
    8Guastatoya1967622:20225
    9Mictlan1974820:30-1025
    10Aurora F.C1947813:24-1119
    11Deportivo Achuapa19531114:24-1018
    12Malacateco19441115:23-816

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