Result
1:0
29/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Guatemala | Tigo Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Cardona L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bol E. ↓, de Leon I. ↑,
- 46', Motta P. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 46', Cardona L. ↓, Ibarguen E. ↑,
- 58', Gonzalez L. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
- 65', Carabali Y. 🟨,
- 68', Martir A. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
- 73', Williams J. 🟨,
- 75', Nunez K. ↓, Corado J. ↑,
- 82', Castrillo C. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽,
- 87', 🟨,
- 88', Bajan D. ↓, Arevalo J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aurora
50.3% | Draw
29.1% | Deportivo Achuapa
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.71) |
3.16 ↓
(3.42) |
4.47 ↓
(4.64) |
8.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Achuapa (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Achuapa (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Aurora is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Achuapa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aurora is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Aurora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Deportivo Achuapa?
Aurora has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Achuapa won against Aurora?
Deportivo Achuapa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa were as follows:
07.02.2026
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Aurora
2:1
18.10.2025
Aurora
-
Deportivo Achuapa
2:1
10.08.2025
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Aurora
1:2
Latest results of Deportivo Achuapa
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Xelaju | Marquense | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Comunicaciones | Antigua | 2 : 0, 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | Coban Imperial | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Municipal | Guastatoya | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
