Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        22/10/2025 at  16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 47% | 53% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 10 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 10 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Santos C. ⚽, 
- 23', Betancourt S. 🟨, 
- 33', 2 - 0, Sanchez E. ⚽, 
- 41', 2 - 1, Martinez N. ⚽, 
- 43',  🟨, 
- 44', 3 - 1, Matta A. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Zuniga E. ↓, Rocha K. ↑, 
- 46', Arevalo E. ↓, Quinones E. ↑, 
- 46', Cifuentes A. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑, 
- 56', Maziero A. ↓, Macal E. ↑, 
- 58', Rocha K. 🟨, 
- 59', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Jerry ↑, 
- 59', Flores N. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑, 
- 66', 3 - 2, Martinez N. ⚽, 
- 69', Gonzalez C. ↓, Navas K. ↑, 
- 69', Matta A. ↓, Vitor Alagoano ↑, 
- 81', Martinez N. 🟨, 
- 90+2', Sanchez E. ↓, Lopez P. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Deportivo Achuapa 42.4%
 | Draw 29.8%
 | Deportivo Mixco 27.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.19 ↓ (2.42)
 | 3.12 ↓ (3.22)
 | 3.33 ↑ (2.88)
 | 7.8% (7.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. Achuapa will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Mixco will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Achuapa: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Achuapa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Mixco (2.48) (votes: 5 - 100%). 
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.  
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 2.
- Achuapa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mixco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Achuapa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Achuapa has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Achuapa won against Deportivo Mixco?
                    
                    
                        
                            Deportivo Achuapa has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Mixco won against Deportivo Achuapa?
                    
                    
                        
                             Deportivo Mixco has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco were as follows:
                                                        
                                05.04.2025 
                                Deportivo Mixco 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Achuapa 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.02.2025 
                                Deportivo Achuapa 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Mixco 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.11.2024 
                                Deportivo Achuapa 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Mixco 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                17.08.2024 
                                Deportivo Mixco 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Achuapa 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.04.2024 
                                Deportivo Mixco 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Achuapa 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Deportivo Achuapa                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Deportivo Mixco                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Deportivo Mixco | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 35 | 
| 2 | Municipal | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 30:12 | 18 | 33 | 
| 3 | Aurora F.C | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 32 | 
| 4 | Antigua | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 29 | 
| 5 | Xelaju | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 21 | 
| 6 | Deportivo Achuapa | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 | 
| 7 | Mictlan | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 | 
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 18 | 
| 9 | Marquense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 18 | 
| 10 | Malacateco | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 16 | 
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:20 | -9 | 13 | 
| 12 | Guastatoya | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:28 | -15 | 12 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)