Result
3:0
16/04/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Guatemala | Tigo Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Cardoza E. ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, Quezada Gamez H. E. ⚽,
- 33', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Castillo K. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 46', Tiul K. ↓, Nunez K. ↑,
- 46', Corado J. ↓, Bol E. ↑,
- 46', de Oliveira C. ↓, Tebalan W. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 0, Quezada Gamez H. E. ⚽,
- 61', Nunez K. ↓, Macal E. ↑,
- 62', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 66', 🟨,
- 67', Diaz Y. ↓, Longo J. ↑,
- 67', Gonzalez J. ↓, Calderon R. ↑,
- 74', Suazo D. 🟨,
- 76', Quezada Gamez H. E. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90', Santos C. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Xelajú
74.4% | Draw
18.6% | Deportivo Achuapa
7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xelajú's performance.Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Achuapa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xelajú that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Achuapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.49) |
4.95 ↑
(3.77) |
13.25 ↑
(5.92) |
8.5%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Xelajú will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Xelajú (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 0.
- Recent performances by Xelajú have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Achuapa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Achuapa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Xelajú is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Xelajú won against Deportivo Achuapa?
Xelajú has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Achuapa won against Xelajú?
Deportivo Achuapa has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa were as follows:
25.02.2026
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Xelajú
0:0
08.11.2025
Xelajú
-
Deportivo Achuapa
0:0
07.09.2025
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Xelajú
4:1
05.03.2025
Xelajú
-
Deportivo Achuapa
0:3
19.01.2025
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Xelajú
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Achuapa
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Xelaju | Marquense | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Comunicaciones | Antigua | 2 : 0, 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | Coban Imperial | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Municipal | Guastatoya | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
