Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
2:2
13/07/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.770.76
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
278
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
87% (404/464)70% (161/229)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.770.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.031.00
Total shots
278
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
122
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
87% (404/464)70% (161/229)
Long passes
65% (28/43)25% (14/55)
Passes in final third
82% (140/171)58% (43/74)
Crosses
27% (11/41)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.72
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
1313
Tackles
73% (8/11)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4250
Clearances
434
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.002.03
Goals prevented
-1.00-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 28', Ramirez D. , Mosquera H. ,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Mosquera H. , Perlaza Perea Y. A. (A),
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Perlaza Perea Y. A. , Rodriguez A. (A),
  • 45+7', Asprilla W. 🟥,
  • 45+11', Balanta M. , Andrades J. ,
  • 45+12', Quintero D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Albornoz O. , Ararat J. ,
  • 46', Largacha J. , Perez M. ,
  • 46', Merheg S. J. , Torres G. ,
  • 47', Angulo J. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Torres G. , Ararat J. (A),
  • 55', Perlaza Perea Y. A. , Palacios M. ,
  • 55', Rodriguez A. , Torres D. ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Quinones Y. ,
  • 65', Ararat J. 🟨,
  • 70', Torres G. 🟨,
  • 77', Kelvin Osorio , Cabrera Y. ,
  • 78', Quinones Y. 🟨,
  • 81', Quinones Y. , Estacio A. ,
  • 83', Torres D. 🟨,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/2wsv4ddd

Chances of winning


Deportivo Pereira
46.5%
Draw
29.8%
Independiente Santa Fe
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 31.4% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 30.9% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pereira's performance.
  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pereira that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.36)
    3.14
    (3)
    3.87
    (3.26)
    7.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Pereira will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Pereira will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pereira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira 2:1
    03.10.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira 1:1
    17.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe 1:0
    04.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe 2:0
    27.09.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira 0:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional32017:436
    2Junior22005:236
    3Fortaleza22003:126
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Chico21103:124
    6Pereira31114:404
    7Alianza31112:204
    8Dep. Pasto11003:213
    9Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    10Llaneros20200:002
    11Aguilas30212:3-12
    12Bucaramanga10101:101
    13America De Cali10100:001
    14U. Magdalena10100:001
    15Envigado20110:1-11
    16Ind. Medellin20111:3-21
    17La Equidad20111:3-21
    18Dep. Cali20110:2-21
    19Millonarios00000:000
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

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