Rionegro Águilas vs Deportivo Pereira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arturo Cumplido Sierra Stadium (Sincelejo).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
Referee: Ruiz D. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.01	1.36
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	19
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	7
Passes
78% (296/381)	68% (216/319)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01	1.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.42	1.16
Total shots
16	19
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
7	7
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
5	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	7
Touches in opposition box
23	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
13	4
Passes
78% (296/381)	68% (216/319)
Long passes
35% (22/63)	31% (17/55)
Passes in final third
76% (115/152)	57% (70/122)
Crosses
23% (6/26)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.00	1.17
Throw-ins
16	19
Fouls
4	13
Tackles
83% (10/12)	100% (4/4)
Duels won
40	28
Clearances
32	12
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.16	2.42
Goals prevented
-1.84	-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Kelvin Osorio ⚽, Quintero D. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Yony Gonzalez ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Quintero D. ⚽,
34', 2 - 2, Lozano D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Celis G. ↓, Lara Vasquez N. ↑,
50', 3 - 2, Morelo W. ⚽,
55', 3 - 3, Quinones Y. ⚽,
71', Caballero J. ↓, Escobar Salcedo J. ↑,
74', Pacheco W. ↓, Moreno Gomez E. A. ↑,
84', Largacha J. ↓, Pena G. ↑,
87', Morelo W. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
90+3', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y85kr65n

Chances of winning

Rionegro Águilas
38.5%

Draw
33.2%

Deportivo Pereira
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rionegro Águilas's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rionegro Águilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.98)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)	3.32 ↓ (3.85)	6.7% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.
Rionegro Águilas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pereira has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Rionegro Águilas might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Deportivo Pereira?

Rionegro Águilas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Rionegro Águilas?

Deportivo Pereira has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira were as follows:

27.09.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira 1:1

17.03.2024 Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas 2:1

11.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas 0:0

12.03.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira 2:1

19.09.2022 Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas 2:2

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

30.04.2025 Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas 1:0 ✺

16.04.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Unión Magdalena 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pereira

26.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Junior Barranquilla 1:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali 2:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pereira 2:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó 1:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pereira 2:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	8	5	2	1	16:10	6	17
2	Ind. Medellin	8	5	1	2	13:9	4	16
3	Deportes Tolima	8	5	1	2	9:5	4	16
4	Fortaleza	8	3	5	0	12:8	4	14
5	Llaneros	8	4	2	2	9:5	4	14
6	Atl. Nacional	8	3	4	1	14:8	6	13
7	Pereira	8	3	3	2	9:8	1	12
8	Santa Fe	8	3	3	2	8:8	0	12
9	Bucaramanga	6	3	1	2	13:8	5	10
10	Envigado	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
11	Dep. Cali	7	2	3	2	10:12	-2	9
12	La Equidad	8	2	3	3	6:9	-3	9
13	Alianza	8	2	3	3	8:12	-4	9
14	U. Magdalena	8	2	2	4	8:14	-6	8
15	Aguilas	8	1	4	3	8:12	-4	7
16	Chico	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
17	Dep. Pasto	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
18	America De Cali	6	1	2	3	5:7	-2	5
19	Millonarios	7	1	1	5	8:11	-3	4
20	Once Caldas	7	0	3	4	6:11	-5	3

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )