Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (318/413) | 73% (244/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (318/413) | 73% (244/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (30/75) | 55% (40/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (48/93) | 61% (83/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Arboleda I. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 26', Plata A. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Moreno Gomez E. A. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Avalo Trejos J. E. (A),
- 57', Lozano F. 🟨,
- 62', Acosta S. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
- 75', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 75', Rivaldo J. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
- 77', Moreno Gomez E. A. ↓, Monroy J. ↑,
- 77', Perez M. ↓, Calderon A. ↑,
- 77', Quinones Y. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 86', Largacha J. 🟨,
- 86', 🟨,
- 88', Lozano F. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
- 88', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Uruena B. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/y9tca9p7
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pereira
27.8% | Draw
29.8% | Rionegro Águilas
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rionegro Águilas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rionegro Águilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(2.74) |
3.15 ↑
(2.79) |
2.2 ↓
(2.87) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rionegro Águilas: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Rionegro Águilas (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 1.
- Recent form of Pereira has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rionegro Águilas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Pereira has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Rionegro Águilas?
Deportivo Pereira has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Deportivo Pereira?
Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
24.10.2025
Deportivo Pereira
-
Rionegro Águilas
1:5
04.05.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Deportivo Pereira
3:3
27.09.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Deportivo Pereira
1:1
17.03.2024
Deportivo Pereira
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:1
11.10.2023
Deportivo Pereira
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:18 | -1 | 21 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:14 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Alianza | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
