Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 82% | 18% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (534/612) | 43% (60/138) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (534/612) | 43% (60/138) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (63/86) | 22% (14/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (163/212) | 34% (19/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (8/47) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Barbieri M. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Alonso A. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Giuliano Galoppo ⚽, Salas M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 2, Ramirez P. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
- 62', Alonso A. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
- 62', Herrera J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 65', Diaz A. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
- 66', Benegas N. 🟨,
- 66', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 66', Castano K. ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
- 72', Barbieri M. ↓, Randazzo J. ↑,
- 75', Bustos F. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
- 81', Salas M. 🟥,
- 84', Sansotre N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
River Plate
61.2% | Draw
26.1% | Deportivo Riestra
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Riestra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Riestra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
River Plate - Deportivo Riestra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.73) |
3.66 ↑
(3.4) |
7.44 ↑
(5.05) |
5.3%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for River Plate - Deportivo Riestra?
Users Predictions:
River Plate will win
(53 of 54 users predict this - 98.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 94.56% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent performances by River Plate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo Riestra is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, River Plate is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G.
(Inactive)
Martinez P.
(Calf Injury)
Meza M.
(Knee Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
Subiabre I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R.
(Ankle Injury)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in River Plate: Driussi S.
(Injury)
Portillo J.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Deportivo Riestra?
River Plate has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against River Plate?
Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
15.03.2025
Deportivo Riestra
-
River Plate
0:0
13.06.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
River Plate
2:0
11.02.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
River Plate
0:3
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Belgrano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Lanus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Instituto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Independiente | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
