River Plate vs Deportivo Riestra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.55
Ball Possession
82%18%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
151
Passes
87% (534/612)43% (60/138)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.09
Total shots
216
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
151
Touches in opposition box
346
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
129
Passes
87% (534/612)43% (60/138)
Long passes
73% (63/86)22% (14/63)
Passes in final third
77% (163/212)34% (19/56)
Crosses
17% (8/47)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.39
Throw-ins
3115
Fouls
912
Tackles
63% (10/16)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5138
Clearances
1054
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
1.091.78
Goals prevented
-0.910.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Barbieri M. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Alonso A. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Giuliano Galoppo ⚽, Salas M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Ramirez P. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
  • 62', Alonso A. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
  • 62', Herrera J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
  • 65', Diaz A. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
  • 66', Benegas N. 🟨,
  • 66', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
  • 66', Castano K. ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
  • 72', Barbieri M. ↓, Randazzo J. ↑,
  • 75', Bustos F. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
  • 81', Salas M. 🟥,
  • 84', Sansotre N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


River Plate
61.2%		Draw
26.1%		Deportivo Riestra
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 27.5% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 28.3% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.
  • Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Riestra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Riestra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    River Plate - Deportivo Riestra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.55 ↓
    (1.73)    		 3.66 ↑
    (3.4)    		 7.44 ↑
    (5.05)    		 5.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for River Plate - Deportivo Riestra?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.25 - River Plate (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: River Plate will win (53 of 54 users predict this - 98.15%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 94.56% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): River Plate will win (50 of 50 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 51 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 51 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Recent performances by River Plate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportivo Riestra is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, River Plate is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Inactive) Martinez P. (Calf Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Subiabre I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Ankle Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Driussi S. (Injury) Portillo J. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Deportivo Riestra - River Plate 0:0
    13.06.2024 Deportivo Riestra - River Plate 2:0
    11.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra - River Plate 0:3
    Latest results of River Plate
    24.09.2025 Palmeiras - River Plate 3:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Atlético Tucumán - River Plate 2:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 River Plate - Palmeiras 1:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 River Plate - San Martín de San Juan 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
    19.09.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0 ✺
    12.09.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Central Córdoba 2:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra 0:1 ✺
    25.08.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Sarmiento de Junín 3:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Rosario Central - Deportivo Riestra 1:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1374215:9625
    2Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    3Lanus1364318:14422
    4Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    5Talleres Cordoba1363414:12221
    6Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    7Defensa y Justicia1347216:12419
    8Independiente1346319:16318
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba133376:16-1012
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Gimnasia L.P1352615:19-417
    11Sarmiento Junin1351711:14-316
    12Banfield1341814:17-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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