Result
1:1
02/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 0.94 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
75% (291/386) | 75% (259/347) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 6 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 0.94 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.01 | 1.25 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
75% (291/386) | 75% (259/347) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (28/68) | 36% (24/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (60/93) | 59% (70/119) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (2/11) | 50% (4/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.45 | 0.69 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
88% (14/16) | 82% (14/17) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.25 | 1.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.25 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Acevedo L. 🟨,
- 36', Sosa C. 🟨,
- 38', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Ortiz J. ⚽,
- 42', Castillo B. 🟨,
- 45+5', Marquez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Aguilar D. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
- 62', De Santis J. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
- 62', Heraldez L. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 62', Covea M. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 68', Ortiz J. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
- 71', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 73', Castillo B. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
- 74', Hernandez O. ↓, Calzadilla C. ↑,
- 80', Rito E. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
- 87', Sosa C. ↓, Saggiomo D. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Tegues D. ⚽,
- 90+4', Tegues D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Cova M. 🟨,
- 90+10', Cova M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caracas 27.7% | Draw 30% | Deportivo Táchira 42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Táchira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caracas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Táchira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caracas - Deportivo Táchira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.33 ↓ (4.1) |
3.08 ↓ (3.26) |
2.19 ↑ (1.84) |
8.2% (9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Caracas - Deportivo Táchira?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caracas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 0.
- Caracas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportivo Táchira is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Deportivo Táchira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Deportivo Táchira?
Caracas has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Táchira won against Caracas?
Deportivo Táchira has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Deportivo Táchira were as follows:
23.02.2025
Deportivo Táchira
-
Caracas
1:0
12.11.2024
Caracas
-
Deportivo Táchira
0:4
29.10.2024
Deportivo Táchira
-
Caracas
2:0
21.08.2024
Deportivo Táchira
-
Caracas
1:1
03.03.2024
Caracas
-
Deportivo Táchira
0:0
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | La Guaira | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Dep. Tachira | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
3 | Carabobo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
4 | Caracas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Universidad Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
6 | Monagas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
7 | Puerto Cabello | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
8 | Estudiantes Merida | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Zamora | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
10 | Rayo Zuliano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Anzoategui FC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 |
12 | Metropolitanos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Yaracuyanos | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
14 | Portuguesa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )