Illescas vs Deportivo Toledo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Barreto S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 79', 1 - 1, Segovia D. ,

Chances of winning


Illescas
19.8%
Draw
29.8%
Deportivo Toledo
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.1% 31.3% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 31.4% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Illescas - Deportivo Toledo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.61
    (4.5)
    3.05
    (2.9)
    1.8
    (1.87)
    9.9%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Toledo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Toledo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Illescas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illescas - Deportivo Toledo were as follows:
    30.11.2025 Deportivo Toledo - Illescas 4:0
    04.01.2025 Illescas - Deportivo Toledo 1:0
    23.08.2023 Illescas - Deportivo Toledo 1:1
    23.04.2023 Illescas - Deportivo Toledo 5:1
    08.01.2023 Deportivo Toledo - Illescas 2:0
    Latest results of Illescas
    05.04.2026 Cazalegas - Illescas 1:1
    21.03.2026 Guadalajara B - Illescas 0:0
    15.03.2026 Illescas - Marchamalo 2:1
    07.03.2026 Azuqueca - Illescas 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Toledo
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puertollano C.F30198349:193065
    2Toledo301711247:143362
    3Tarancon30187552:252761
    4Albacete B301611345:143159
    5Ciudad Real30175850:262456
    6Villarrubia301461037:29848
    7Villacanas30129927:20745
    8San Clemente301111833:34-144
    9Guadalajara B301091127:31-439
    10Huracan de Balazote301151431:38-738
    11Villarrobledo309111028:34-638
    12Marchamalo301061436:39-336
    13Illescas307111220:31-1132
    14La Solana306101420:35-1528
    15Pedroneras305111423:40-1726
    16Azuqueca304121422:36-1424
    17Sonseca30372023:63-4016
    18Cazalegas30362115:57-4215

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          Relegation