Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Chaves A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Illescas 43% | Draw 28.7% | Marchamalo 28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Illescas - Marchamalo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↓ (2.18) |
3.17 ↓ (3.2) |
3.21 ↑ (3.14) |
9.9% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 10).
- Illescas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marchamalo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Illescas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Illescas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Illescas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Illescas won against Marchamalo?
Illescas has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marchamalo won against Illescas?
Marchamalo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Illescas - Marchamalo were as follows:
02.11.2025
Marchamalo
-
Illescas
0:1
15.01.2023
Illescas
-
Marchamalo
5:1
Latest results of Illescas
Latest results of Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toledo | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 55:14 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Puertollano C.F | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 51:21 | 30 | 68 |
| 3 | Tarancon | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 56:25 | 31 | 67 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 46:16 | 30 | 60 |
| 5 | Ciudad Real | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:27 | 25 | 60 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 41:33 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | San Clemente | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 47 |
| 8 | Villacanas | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 | Huracan de Balazote | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 33:41 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 41 |
| 11 | Guadalajara B | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 | Marchamalo | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Illescas | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 35 |
| 14 | La Solana | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Pedroneras | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Azuqueca | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 28:39 | -11 | 28 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 25:69 | -44 | 16 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 32 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 15:60 | -45 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )
Relegation