Alianza Panama vs Deportivo Universitario – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
12/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LPF - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
panamaPanamaTigo Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
95
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
713
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
39
Corner Kicks
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Alvarado J. ,
  • 15', Casazola M. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Edwards A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Alvarado J. , Espinoza I. ,
  • 54', Tobon J. 🟨,
  • 57', Barragan M. , Simons J. ,
  • 57', Casazola M. , Acosta M. ,
  • 70', Verley R. 🟨,
  • 71', Rangel R. , McKenzie A. ,
  • 79', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 79', Rangel G. , Guardia H. ,
  • 83', Rodriguez M. , Berguido R. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 97', 2 - 1, Perdomo R. ,
  • 101', 2 - 2, Edwards A. ,
  • 104', Espinoza I. , Mendoza A. ,
  • 104', Maltez U. , Vargas D. ,
  • 109', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
  • 116', Edwards A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Edwards A. (Pen),
  • 1, Diaz A. (Pen),
  • 2, Matos J. (Pen),
  • 2, Berguido R. (Pen),
  • 3, Tobon J. (Pen),
  • 3, Guardia H. (Pen),
  • 4, Guevara J. (Pen),
  • 4, Verley R. (Pen),
  • 5, Simons J. (Pen),
  • 5, Perdomo R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Alianza Panama
47.5%
Draw
29.1%
Deportivo Universitario
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 29.9% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 29.5% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Panama's performance.
  • Deportivo Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Universitario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Panama that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Universitario than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Universitario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alianza Panama - Deportivo Universitario Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.74)
    3.45
    (3.03)
    4.31
    (2.45)
    -0.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Alianza Panama - Deportivo Universitario?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). CD Universitario will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
    • Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • CD Universitario has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Panama - Deportivo Universitario were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Deportivo Universitario - Alianza Panama 0:0
    30.08.2024 Deportivo Universitario - Alianza Panama 1:2
    02.03.2024 Alianza Panama - Deportivo Universitario 1:0
    23.09.2023 Alianza Panama - Deportivo Universitario 1:1
    25.03.2023 Deportivo Universitario - Alianza Panama 1:1
    Latest results of Alianza Panama
    Liga Panamena de Futbol Table
    2026

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza724114:12210
    2UMECIT731310:9110
    3Miguelito62317:529
    4Tauro72328:809
    5Plaza Amador722310:918
    6Arabe Unido72146:7-17


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente734012:4813
    2Union Cocle73408:4413
    3Veraguas722313:1128
    4Deportivo Universitario61417:9-27
    5San Francisco714211:14-37
    6Herrera71247:21-145

          Promotion ~ LPF (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ LPF (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)