Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Ajibola A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Richards J. , Wilson C. ,
  • 46', Allen C. , Tola M. ,
  • 47', Wheeldon L. 🟨,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Merry W. , Akachukwu R. (A),
  • 57', Oguntolu J. , Osong J. ,
  • 57', Stokes G. , Gough B. ,
  • 61', Akachukwu R. , Charles B. ,
  • 61', Merry W. , Gathercole H. ,
  • 73', Whittaker R. , Moore J. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Osayande A. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Charles B. ,
  • 88', Bragg C. , Daley A. ,
  • 90+5', Gough B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Southampton U21
76.5%
Draw
13.4%
Derby County U21
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 16.6% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 15.7% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton U21's performance.
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.35)
    7.37
    (5.52)
    9.8
    (5.89)
    1.3%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Southampton U21 - Derby County U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • S`hampton U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Derby U21 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, S`hampton U21 is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, S`hampton U21 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 0:0
    15.12.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 2:1
    31.03.2023 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 1:3
    06.01.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 3:0
    Latest results of Southampton U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelsea U21 ✔ 20141552:252743
    2Manchester Utd U21 ✔ 20134343:261743
    3Fulham U21 ✔ 20115448:321638
    4Ipswich U21 ✔ 19122541:37438
    5Manchester City U21 ✔ 19121656:213537
    6Southampton U21 ✔ 19106336:28836
    7Liverpool U21 ✔ 20112749:361335
    8Tottenham U21 ✔ 19102740:32832
    9Brighton U21 ✔ 2086638:251330
    10West Ham U21 ✔ 2086644:35930
    11Arsenal U21 ✔ 1985628:31-329
    12Leicester U211984745:40528
    13Crystal Palace U211984734:31328
    14Sunderland U212084841:40128
    15Aston Villa U211984731:35-428
    16Middlesbrough U212076737:28927
    17Nottingham U2120821023:23026
    18Newcastle Utd U211965829:34-523
    19Everton U211964925:32-722
    20Reading U211964925:35-1022
    21Stoke City U211864828:41-1322
    22Wolves U211964929:44-1522
    23Norwich U211955932:39-720
    24Derby U211955925:40-1520
    25Leeds U2119531126:37-1118
    26West Brom U2120531226:41-1518
    27Birmingham U2120451126:52-2617
    28Burnley U2119341222:40-1813
    29Blackburn U2118321325:44-1911

          Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chelsea U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester Utd U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Fulham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ipswich U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester City U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Southampton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Liverpool U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tottenham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Brighton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    West Ham U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Arsenal U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)