Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Ajibola A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Richards J. , Wilson C. ,
  • 46', Allen C. , Tola M. ,
  • 47', Wheeldon L. 🟨,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Merry W. , Akachukwu R. (A),
  • 57', Oguntolu J. , Osong J. ,
  • 57', Stokes G. , Gough B. ,
  • 61', Akachukwu R. , Charles B. ,
  • 61', Merry W. , Gathercole H. ,
  • 73', Whittaker R. , Moore J. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Osayande A. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Charles B. ,
  • 88', Bragg C. , Daley A. ,
  • 90+5', Gough B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Southampton U21
76.5%
Draw
13.4%
Derby County U21
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 16.6% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 15.7% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton U21's performance.
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.35)
    7.37
    (5.52)
    9.8
    (5.89)
    1.3%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Southampton U21 - Derby County U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • S`hampton U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Derby U21 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, S`hampton U21 is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, S`hampton U21 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 0:0
    15.12.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 2:1
    31.03.2023 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 1:3
    06.01.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 3:0
    Latest results of Southampton U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manchester Utd U2114103136:181833
    2Chelsea U2115101437:221531
    3Ipswich U2115101437:34331
    4Fulham U211585236:221429
    5Liverpool U211692539:271229
    6Southampton U211585229:22729
    7Tottenham U211482433:221126
    8Manchester City U211481542:192325
    9Arsenal U211474323:20325
    10West Ham U211566332:23924
    11Leicester U211673636:34224
    12Brighton U211564526:19722
    13Crystal Palace U211463525:24121
    14Everton U211562722:23-120
    15Stoke City U211454521:26-519
    16Middlesbrough U211546525:21418
    17Sunderland U211453629:29018
    18Aston Villa U211353524:25-118
    19Wolves U211453625:31-618
    20Nottingham U211552815:17-217
    21Leeds U211443720:25-515
    22Newcastle Utd U211443720:26-615
    23Reading U211443719:29-1015
    24Norwich U211534821:32-1113
    25Birmingham U211333718:33-1512
    26Blackburn U211432921:34-1311
    27Burnley U2115231018:34-169
    28West Brom U2115231014:34-209
    29Derby U211415815:33-188

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