Southampton U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Ajibola A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
75
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Oyekunle N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Richards J. , Wilson C. ,
  • 46', Allen C. , Tola M. ,
  • 47', Wheeldon L. 🟨,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Merry W. , Akachukwu R. (A),
  • 57', Oguntolu J. , Osong J. ,
  • 57', Stokes G. , Gough B. ,
  • 61', Akachukwu R. , Charles B. ,
  • 61', Merry W. , Gathercole H. ,
  • 73', Whittaker R. , Moore J. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Osayande A. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Charles B. ,
  • 88', Bragg C. , Daley A. ,
  • 90+5', Gough B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Southampton U21
76.5%
Draw
13.4%
Derby County U21
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 16.6% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 15.7% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton U21's performance.
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.35)
    7.37
    (5.52)
    9.8
    (5.89)
    1.3%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Southampton U21 - Derby County U21?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • S`hampton U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Derby U21 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, S`hampton U21 is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, S`hampton U21 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 0:0
    15.12.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 2:1
    31.03.2023 Derby County U21 - Southampton U21 1:3
    06.01.2023 Southampton U21 - Derby County U21 3:0
    Latest results of Southampton U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Southampton U21 (6)Aston Villa U21 (11)3 : 4
    2Manchester City U21 (3)Arsenal U21 (14)3 : 1
    3Chelsea U21 (1)Middlesbrough U21 (16)1 : 0
    4Tottenham U21 (8)Leicester U21 (9)1 : 0
    5Liverpool U21 (7)Crystal Palace U21 (10)3 : 4
    6Manchester Utd U21 (2)Sunderland U21 (15)3 : 2
    7Ipswich U21 (5)Brighton U21 (12)1 : 2
    8Fulham U21 (4)West Ham U21 (13)2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Aston Villa U21Manchester City U21
    2Chelsea U21Tottenham U21
    3Crystal Palace U21Manchester Utd U21
    4Brighton U21West Ham U21