Derby County vs Bradford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
09/01/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Derby County
62.4%
Draw
21.6%
Bradford City
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 24.6% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 23.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County's performance.
  • Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bradford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bradford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Derby County - Bradford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.71)
    4.28
    (3.71)
    5.72
    (4.14)
    8.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Bradford City?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Bradford will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Derby is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Bradford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Derby to win the game is with odds 1.56.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Bradford City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County0 : 1
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1Stockport CountyTBD #2