Result
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Derby County
49.8% | Draw
27.2% | Oxford United
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Derby County - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.77) |
3.45 ↓
(3.53) |
4.06 ↓
(4.46) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Oxford United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Oxford (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 50%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Derby is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Derby won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Oxford United?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Derby County?
Oxford United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Oxford United were as follows:
18.10.2025
Oxford United
-
Derby County
1:0
11.02.2025
Derby County
-
Oxford United
0:0
22.10.2024
Oxford United
-
Derby County
1:1
29.12.2023
Oxford United
-
Derby County
2:3
15.08.2023
Derby County
-
Oxford United
1:2
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
