Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 43
- Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/512) | 73% (180/245) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/512) | 73% (180/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (86/125) | 53% (40/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Banel J. ⚽, Szmodics S. (A),
- 26', Ozoh D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Donley J. ↓, Jeon Jin-Woo ↑,
- 62', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 70', Ozoh D. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
- 71', Sanderson D. ↓, Langas S. ↑,
- 76', Szmodics S. 🟨,
- 80', Brannagan C. 🟨,
- 84', Konak Y. E. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 86', Banel J. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
- 87', Fraulo O. 🟨,
- 88', Murkin D. 🟨,
- 89', Spencer B. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 90+1', Murkin D. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
- 90+1', Szmodics S. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
47.5% | Draw
27.6% | Oxford United
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Derby County - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.77) |
3.44 ↓
(3.53) |
3.83 ↓
(4.46) |
4.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derby County - Oxford United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Derby (2.00) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.75 - Derby (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Derby (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derby County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Derby is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Derby: Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Shoulder Injury)
Goodrham T.
(Ankle Injury)
Leigh G.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Clark B.
(Injury)
Elder C.
(Toe Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Derby won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Oxford United?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Derby County?
Oxford United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Oxford United were as follows:
18.10.2025
Oxford United
-
Derby County
1:0
11.02.2025
Derby County
-
Oxford United
0:0
22.10.2024
Oxford United
-
Derby County
1:1
29.12.2023
Oxford United
-
Derby County
2:3
15.08.2023
Derby County
-
Oxford United
1:2
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
