Result
1:1
22/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 3
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Football Plus |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-africa | SuperSport Football |
South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.47 | 0.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Passes |
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81% (397/488) | 80% (364/454) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.47 | 0.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.05 | 0.65 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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15 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 14 |
Passes |
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81% (397/488) | 80% (364/454) |
Long passes |
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36% (18/50) | 24% (12/50) |
Passes in final third |
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53% (46/86) | 64% (54/84) |
Crosses |
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19% (3/16) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.24 | 0.24 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 5 |
Tackles |
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57% (8/14) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 63 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.65 | 1.05 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.35 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Twine S. ⚽, Sykes M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 59', Weimann A. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
- 59', Nyambe R. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 59', Thompson L. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
- 65', Widell Zetterstrom J. 🟨,
- 70', Batth D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 70', Ozoh D. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 72', Randell A. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
- 74', Adams E. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 1, Morris C. ⚽,
- 90+3', Morris C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County 23.5% | Draw 31.7% | Bristol City 44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derby County - Bristol City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.65 ↑ (2.6) |
3.32 ↑ (3.16) |
2.29 ↓ (2.82) |
-4.7% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derby County - Bristol City?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Bristol City will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 21.7% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bristol City (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bristol City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Hernia)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
O'Leary M.
(Knee Injury)
Pring C.
(Ankle Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Derby won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Bristol City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Derby County?
Bristol City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Bristol City were as follows:
04.01.2025
Bristol City
-
Derby County
1:0
31.08.2024
Derby County
-
Bristol City
3:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Bristol City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One