Bristol City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol).

Championship - Round 30
Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	ESPN 3 North
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.23	2.01
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
7	17
Shots on target
1	7
Big chances
0	5
Corner kicks
4	1
Passes
82% (453/551)	78% (284/364)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.23	2.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.10	2.79
Total shots
7	17
Shots on target
1	7
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
3	13
Shots outside the box
4	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	5
Corner kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
14	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
15	9
Passes
82% (453/551)	78% (284/364)
Long passes
43% (21/49)	44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
59% (84/142)	68% (55/81)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	75% (3/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	1.75
Throw ins
23	19
Fouls
9	15
Tackles
53% (8/15)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
49	38
Clearances
14	20
Interceptions
5	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
2.79	0.10
Goals prevented
-2.21	0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', Ozoh D. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Brewster R. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Clark B. (A),
36', 0 - 3, Clark B. ⚽, Brereton Diaz B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sykes M. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
46', Bell S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
60', Travis L. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
63', Twine S. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
66', 0 - 4, Agyemang P. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
70', Brewster R. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
70', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
74', Randell A. ↓, Morsy S. ↑,
78', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Eames O. ↑,
78', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
80', Pring C. 🟨,
88', 0 - 5, Salvesen L. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol City
47.4%

Draw
27.1%

Derby County
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.1%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28%

23.3%

Bristol City - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.94)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	3.71 ↓ (3.93)	5.6% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol City - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Derby will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 20%). Derby (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Derby (2.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Bristol City (1.31) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Derby (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Bristol City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Mayulu F. (Inactive) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Vyner Z. (Inactive) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Derby County?

Bristol City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Bristol City?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Derby County were as follows:

22.08.2025 Derby County - Bristol City 1:1

04.01.2025 Bristol City - Derby County 1:0

31.08.2024 Derby County - Bristol City 3:0

Latest results of Bristol City

24.01.2026 Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:0 ✺

20.01.2026 Ipswich Town - Bristol City 2:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Oxford United - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Bristol City - Watford 5:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Bristol City - Preston North End 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

23.01.2026 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Derby County 1:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Preston North End - Derby County 0:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Derby County - Leeds United 1:3 ✺

04.01.2026 Derby County - Wrexham 1:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

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      Relegation ~ League One