Bristol City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:5
30/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 30
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.232.01
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
17
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
41
Passes
82% (453/551)78% (284/364)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.232.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.102.79
Total shots
717
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
313
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1429
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
159
Passes
82% (453/551)78% (284/364)
Long passes
43% (21/49)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
59% (84/142)68% (55/81)
Crosses
13% (2/16)75% (3/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.75
Throw ins
2319
Fouls
915
Tackles
53% (8/15)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
2.790.10
Goals prevented
-2.210.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 11', Ozoh D. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Brewster R. , Elder C. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, Brereton Diaz B. , Clark B. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, Clark B. , Brereton Diaz B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Sykes M. , Neto Borges ,
  • 46', Bell S. , Armstrong S. ,
  • 60', Travis L. , Fraulo O. ,
  • 63', Twine S. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 66', 0 - 4, Agyemang P. , Ward J. (A),
  • 70', Brewster R. , Banel J. ,
  • 70', Agyemang P. , Salvesen L. ,
  • 74', Randell A. , Morsy S. ,
  • 78', Brereton Diaz B. , Eames O. ,
  • 78', Clark B. , Weimann A. ,
  • 80', Pring C. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 5, Salvesen L. , Weimann A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol City
47.4%
Draw
27.1%
Derby County
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 27.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 28% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Bristol City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.94)
    3.48
    (3.5)
    3.71
    (3.93)
    5.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bristol City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Derby will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7%66.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 20%). Derby (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH 0 - Derby (2.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Bristol City (1.31) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Derby (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bristol City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Mayulu F. (Inactive) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Vyner Z. (Inactive) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Derby County were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Derby County - Bristol City 1:1
    04.01.2025 Bristol City - Derby County 1:0
    31.08.2024 Derby County - Bristol City 3:0
    Latest results of Bristol City
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One