Result
1:1
22/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 3
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Football Plus |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (397/488) | 80% (364/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (397/488) | 80% (364/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 24% (12/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 64% (54/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Twine S. ⚽, Sykes M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 59', Weimann A. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
- 59', Nyambe R. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 59', Thompson L. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
- 65', Widell Zetterstrom J. 🟨,
- 70', Batth D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 70', Ozoh D. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 72', Randell A. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
- 74', Adams E. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 1, Morris C. ⚽,
- 90+3', Morris C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
23.5% | Draw
31.7% | Bristol City
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derby County - Bristol City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.65 ↑
(2.6) |
3.32 ↑
(3.16) |
2.29 ↓
(2.82) |
-4.7%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derby County - Bristol City?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Bristol City will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 21.7% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bristol City (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bristol City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Hernia)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
O'Leary M.
(Knee Injury)
Pring C.
(Ankle Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Derby won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Bristol City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Derby County?
Bristol City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Bristol City were as follows:
04.01.2025
Bristol City
-
Derby County
1:0
31.08.2024
Derby County
-
Bristol City
3:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Bristol City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
