Bristol City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
0:5
30/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 30
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.232.01
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
17
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
41
Passes
82% (453/551)78% (284/364)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.232.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.102.79
Total shots
717
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
313
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1429
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
159
Passes
82% (453/551)78% (284/364)
Long passes
43% (21/49)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
59% (84/142)68% (55/81)
Crosses
13% (2/16)75% (3/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.75
Throw ins
2319
Fouls
915
Tackles
53% (8/15)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
2.790.10
Goals prevented
-2.210.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 11', Ozoh D. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Brewster R. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Clark B. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, Clark B. ⚽, Brereton Diaz B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Sykes M. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
  • 46', Bell S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
  • 60', Travis L. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
  • 63', Twine S. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
  • 66', 0 - 4, Agyemang P. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
  • 70', Brewster R. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
  • 70', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
  • 74', Randell A. ↓, Morsy S. ↑,
  • 78', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Eames O. ↑,
  • 78', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
  • 80', Pring C. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 5, Salvesen L. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol City
47.4%		Draw
27.1%		Derby County
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 27.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 28% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Bristol City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2 ↑
    (1.94)    		 3.48 ↓
    (3.5)    		 3.71 ↓
    (3.93)    		 5.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bristol City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Derby will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 20%). Derby (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH 0 - Derby (2.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Bristol City (1.31) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Derby (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bristol City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Mayulu F. (Inactive) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Vyner Z. (Inactive) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Derby County were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Derby County - Bristol City 1:1
    04.01.2025 Bristol City - Derby County 1:0
    31.08.2024 Derby County - Bristol City 3:0
    Latest results of Bristol City
    24.01.2026 Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:0 ✺
    20.01.2026 Ipswich Town - Bristol City 2:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Oxford United - Bristol City 0:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Bristol City - Watford 5:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Bristol City - Preston North End 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    23.01.2026 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Derby County 1:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Preston North End - Derby County 0:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Derby County - Leeds United 1:3 ✺
    04.01.2026 Derby County - Wrexham 1:2 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Millwall35188947:40762
    4Ipswich33179759:342560
    5Hull341861056:48860
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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