Stoke City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Football English League Championship Stoke City - Derby County
Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 1
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.42
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
87% (381/438)60% (125/207)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.941.03
Total shots
123
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1512
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
87% (381/438)60% (125/207)
Long passes
53% (31/58)35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
65% (63/97)43% (32/74)
Crosses
17% (4/24)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.27
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1214
Tackles
42% (5/12)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
2130
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.032.94
Goals prevented
0.03-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 53', Jackson K. 🟨,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Morris C. ⚽, Blackett-Taylor C. (A),
  • 67', Goudmijn K. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Baker L. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
  • 73', Manhoef M. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
  • 74', Lawal B. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
  • 78', Wilmot B. 🟨,
  • 80', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
  • 84', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
  • 90+4', Jackson K. ↓, Sanderson D. ↑,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Mubama D. ⚽, Seko T. (A),
  • 90+8', 3 - 1, Thomas S. ⚽, Donley J. (A),
  • 90+9', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Stoke City
42.7%		Draw
30.2%		Derby County
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 28.8% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
    •

    Stoke City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.24 ↑
    (2.17)    		 3.12 ↓
    (3.3)    		 3.46 ↓
    (3.46)    		 5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Stoke City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Derby (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.
    • Derby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Stoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Derby has had a series of away games.
    • Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Salvesen L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Derby County were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Derby County - Stoke City 0:0
    02.11.2024 Stoke City - Derby County 2:1
    22.07.2023 Derby County - Stoke City 3:0
    Latest results of Stoke City
    02.08.2025 Stoke City - Burnley 1:0
    26.07.2025 Stoke City - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1
    23.07.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City 1:2
    16.07.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Stoke City 3:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Derby County - Stoke City 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    02.08.2025 Derby County - Atromitos Athens 2:0 ✺
    29.07.2025 Solihull Moors - Derby County 2:4
    26.07.2025 Burton Albion - Derby County 2:1
    22.07.2025 Walsall - Derby County 2:3
    18.07.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Derby County 1:2 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough853012:5718
    2Coventry844022:71516
    3Stoke842210:5514
    4West Brom84229:7214
    5Bristol City834114:8613
    6Leicester834110:7313
    7Preston83419:7213
    8Swansea83329:7212
    9Charlton83328:6212
    10QPR833211:13-212
    11Birmingham83237:10-311
    12Millwall83236:12-611
    13Ipswich724112:7510
    14Southampton824210:11-110
    15Wrexham823313:14-19
    16Watford82339:10-19
    17Portsmouth82337:9-29
    18Hull823313:16-39
    19Norwich822410:11-18
    20Derby814310:14-47
    21Oxford Utd81349:11-26
    22Blackburn72056:10-46
    23Sheffield Wed81348:15-76
    24Sheffield Utd81073:15-123

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          Relegation ~ League One

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