Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 1
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.62 | 0.42 |
Ball Possession |
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68% | 32% |
Total shots |
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12 | 3 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 3 |
Passes |
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87% (381/438) | 60% (125/207) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.62 | 0.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.94 | 1.03 |
Total shots |
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12 | 3 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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15 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
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3 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 11 |
Passes |
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87% (381/438) | 60% (125/207) |
Long passes |
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53% (31/58) | 35% (21/60) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (63/97) | 43% (32/74) |
Crosses |
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17% (4/24) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.20 | 0.27 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 20 |
Fouls |
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12 | 14 |
Tackles |
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42% (5/12) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
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42 | 49 |
Clearances |
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21 | 30 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.03 | 2.94 |
Goals prevented |
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0.03 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 53', Jackson K. 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 1, Morris C. ⚽, Blackett-Taylor C. (A),
- 67', Goudmijn K. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Baker L. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
- 73', Manhoef M. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
- 74', Lawal B. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 78', Wilmot B. 🟨,
- 80', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 84', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
- 90+4', Jackson K. ↓, Sanderson D. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Mubama D. ⚽, Seko T. (A),
- 90+8', 3 - 1, Thomas S. ⚽, Donley J. (A),
- 90+9', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stoke City 42.7% | Draw 30.2% | Derby County 27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Stoke City - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↑ (2.17) |
3.12 ↓ (3.3) |
3.46 ↓ (3.46) |
5.5% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Derby (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.
- Derby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Stoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Derby has had a series of away games.
- Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Ward J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Derby County?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Stoke City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Derby County were as follows:
03.05.2025
Derby County
-
Stoke City
0:0
02.11.2024
Stoke City
-
Derby County
2:1
22.07.2023
Derby County
-
Stoke City
3:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One