Stoke City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 1
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.42
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
87% (381/438)60% (125/207)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.941.03
Total shots
123
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1512
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
87% (381/438)60% (125/207)
Long passes
53% (31/58)35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
65% (63/97)43% (32/74)
Crosses
17% (4/24)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.27
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1214
Tackles
42% (5/12)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
2130
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.032.94
Goals prevented
0.03-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 53', Jackson K. 🟨,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Morris C. ⚽, Blackett-Taylor C. (A),
  • 67', Goudmijn K. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Baker L. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
  • 73', Manhoef M. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
  • 74', Lawal B. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
  • 78', Wilmot B. 🟨,
  • 80', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
  • 84', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
  • 90+4', Jackson K. ↓, Sanderson D. ↑,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Mubama D. ⚽, Seko T. (A),
  • 90+8', 3 - 1, Thomas S. ⚽, Donley J. (A),
  • 90+9', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Stoke City
42.7%		Draw
30.2%		Derby County
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 28.8% 27.4%

Stoke City - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.24 ↑
(2.17)		 3.12 ↓
(3.3)		 3.46 ↓
(3.46)		 5.5%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Derby (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.
    • Derby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Stoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Derby has had a series of away games.
    • Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Salvesen L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Derby County were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Derby County - Stoke City 0:0
    02.11.2024 Stoke City - Derby County 2:1
    22.07.2023 Derby County - Stoke City 3:0
    Latest results of Stoke City
    02.08.2025 Stoke City - Burnley 1:0
    26.07.2025 Stoke City - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1
    23.07.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City 1:2
    16.07.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Stoke City 3:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Derby County - Stoke City 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    02.08.2025 Derby County - Atromitos Athens 2:0 ✺
    29.07.2025 Solihull Moors - Derby County 2:4
    26.07.2025 Burton Albion - Derby County 2:1
    22.07.2025 Walsall - Derby County 2:3
    18.07.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Derby County 1:2 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry19134250:212943
    2Middlesbrough19106328:20836
    3Millwall19104523:25-234
    4Ipswich1987433:191431
    5Preston1987426:20631
    6Stoke1993726:18830
    7Bristol City1985626:21529
    8Birmingham1984728:23528
    9Hull1984731:34-328
    10QPR1984725:29-428
    11Southampton1976631:26527
    12Wrexham1969424:21327
    13Watford1976627:25227
    14Leicester1976625:24127
    15Derby1975726:28-226
    16West Brom1974821:25-425
    17Charlton1865718:23-523
    18Sheffield Utd19711124:28-422
    19Blackburn1863918:23-521
    20Swansea1955920:27-720
    21Oxford Utd1946920:27-718
    22Portsmouth1845915:25-1017
    23Norwich19341221:32-1113
    24Sheffield Wed18151214:36-22-10

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          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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