Result
2:0
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 41
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (292/370) | 75% (260/345) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (292/370) | 75% (260/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 29% (15/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (101/146) | 52% (48/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Agina S. 🟨,
- 35', Rigo T. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
- 41', Agyemang P. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cisse L. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Banel J. ⚽, Morris C. (A),
- 63', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
- 63', Agina S. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 69', Travis L. 🟨,
- 78', Bae J. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
- 80', Ozoh D. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
- 85', Banel J. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 0, Morris C. ⚽, Clark B. (A),
- 90+2', Clark B. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
- 90+2', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 90+3', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
55.1% | Draw
24.9% | Stoke City
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County's performance.Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stoke City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Derby County - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(2) |
3.8 ↑
(3.4) |
4.74 ↑
(3.56) |
5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derby County - Stoke City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Stoke (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Derby (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derby County will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Stoke (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Derby is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Derby: Salvesen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Szmodics S.
(Injury)
Vickers J.
(Groin Injury)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Talovierov M.
(Ankle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wilmot B.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Elder C.
(Toe Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Cisse L.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Derby won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.3:0.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Stoke City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Derby County?
Stoke City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Stoke City were as follows:
09.08.2025
Stoke City
-
Derby County
3:1
03.05.2025
Derby County
-
Stoke City
0:0
02.11.2024
Stoke City
-
Derby County
2:1
22.07.2023
Derby County
-
Stoke City
3:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
