Result
2:2
01/02/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Derio
42.4% | Draw
27.8% | Durango
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derio's form might have worsened.Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Durango's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derio - Durango Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.86) |
3.28 ↓
(3.3) |
3.06 ↓
(3.91) |
9.7%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).
- Derio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Durango is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Derio will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Derio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Derio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Durango?
Derio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Derio?
Durango has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Durango were as follows:
20.04.2024
Durango
-
Derio
0:1
03.12.2023
Derio
-
Durango
0:1
Latest results of Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Aretxabaleta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Touring KE | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | San Ignacio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Eibar C | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Durango | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad C | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Alaves C | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Anorga | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
