Derio vs Durango – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Derio - Durango
Result
2:2
01/02/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 2, ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Derio
42.4%
Draw
27.8%
Durango
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 27.6% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 26.2% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derio's form might have worsened.
  • Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Durango's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Derio - Durango Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.86)
    3.28
    (3.3)
    3.06
    (3.91)
    9.7%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).
    • Derio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Durango is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Derio will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Derio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Durango were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Durango - Derio 0:1
    03.12.2023 Derio - Durango 0:1
    Latest results of Derio
    25.01.2025 Urduliz - Derio 2:1
    18.01.2025 Derio - Lagun Onak 2:0
    11.01.2025 Derio - Alavés C 2:0
    22.12.2024 Padura - Derio 1:2
    14.12.2024 Santurtzi - Derio 0:1
    Latest results of Durango
    19.01.2025 Beasain - Durango 1:1
    11.01.2025 Pasaia - Durango 3:2
    21.12.2024 Durango - San Ignacio 3:1
    15.12.2024 Basconia - Durango 2:1
    06.12.2024 Durango - Leioa 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2