Result
4:0
19/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mikel ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 62', 2 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 0, Carreras Arino G. ⚽,
- 90+2', 4 - 0, Moral M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Derio
43.9% | Draw
28.3% | Durango
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Derio - Durango Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.9) |
3.27 ↓
(3.4) |
3.33 ↓
(3.55) |
8.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).
- Derio is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Durango has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Derio might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Derio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Durango?
Derio has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Derio?
Durango has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Durango were as follows:
08.11.2025
Durango
-
Derio
1:0
01.02.2025
Derio
-
Durango
2:2
20.04.2024
Durango
-
Derio
0:1
03.12.2023
Derio
-
Durango
0:1
Latest results of Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 62:23 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Leioa | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 48:28 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:23 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Derio | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Anorga | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 23:40 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
