Result
0:1
24/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Derio
14.9% | Draw
28.7% | Portugalete
56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derio's form might have worsened.Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Derio - Portugalete Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.07 ↑
(4.49) |
3.68 ↑
(3.35) |
1.87 ↑
(1.72) |
-5.1%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derio - Portugalete?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Derio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Portugalete is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Portugalete is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Portugalete?
Derio has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portugalete won against Derio?
Portugalete has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Portugalete were as follows:
14.09.2025
Portugalete
-
Derio
3:2
01.03.2025
Derio
-
Portugalete
1:1
20.10.2024
Portugalete
-
Derio
1:0
25.02.2024
Portugalete
-
Derio
0:0
07.10.2023
Derio
-
Portugalete
1:2
Latest results of Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 60 |
| 2 | Leioa | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lagun Onak | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 24:18 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Derio | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | Durango | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Anorga | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 21 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17:30 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
