Derio vs Portugalete – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Derio - Portugalete
Result
1:1
01/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Zorrilla G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Carreras Arino G. ,

Chances of winning


Derio
18.7%
Draw
26.9%
Portugalete
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 27.3% 53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 27.1% 54.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Derio aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Derio - Portugalete Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.86
    (4.82)
    3.39
    (3.32)
    1.67
    (1.69)
    9.8%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent matches Derio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Portugalete is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Portugalete could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Portugalete is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Derio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Portugalete were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Portugalete - Derio 1:0
    25.02.2024 Portugalete - Derio 0:0
    07.10.2023 Derio - Portugalete 1:2
    Latest results of Derio
    23.02.2025 Eibar C - Derio 0:0
    15.02.2025 Derio - Touring KE 0:2
    08.02.2025 Deusto - Derio 1:2
    01.02.2025 Derio - Durango 2:2
    25.01.2025 Urduliz - Derio 2:1
    Latest results of Portugalete
    22.02.2025 Portugalete - Santurtzi 2:2
    09.02.2025 Portugalete - Pasaia 0:1
    02.02.2025 San Ignacio - Portugalete 0:3
    18.01.2025 Leioa - Portugalete 2:3
    12.01.2025 Aretxabaleta - Portugalete 0:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2