Result
2:0
03/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 26
- Referee: McLaughlin P. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/504) | 85% (384/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/504) | 85% (384/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (51/76) | 72% (99/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Honohan J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', McEneff A. ↓, Malley C. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Gaffney R. ⚽, Honohan J. (A),
- 49', Boyce L. 🟨,
- 58', Bannon A. 🟨,
- 63', Boyce L. ↓, Whyte G. ↑,
- 63', Akinyemi D. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Gaffney R. ⚽,
- 66', Lopes R. 🟨,
- 69', Gaffney R. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
- 74', Grant D. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
- 74', Mandroiu D. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
- 78', Stott J. 🟨,
- 79', Bannon A. 🟨,
- 85', Duffy M. ↓, Doherty B. ↑,
- 85', Diallo S. ↓, Boyce R. ↑,
- 86', Cleary D. ↓, O'Sullivan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shamrock Rovers
46.9% | Draw
29.8% | Derry City
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Shamrock Rovers - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.97) |
3.13 ↓
(3.21) |
4.04 ↓
(4.09) |
7.2%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - Derry City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Shamrock Rovers will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 3.
- Shamrock is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Derry's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shamrock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Shamrock has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Shamrock is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Shamrock: Clarke T.
(Injury)
Greene A.
(Inactive)
Matthews A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Derry: Dummigan C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against Derry City?
Shamrock Rovers has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Shamrock Rovers?
Derry City has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - Derry City were as follows:
23.05.2025
Derry City
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:2
28.03.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Derry City
0:0
20.09.2024
Derry City
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:1
20.05.2024
Shamrock Rovers
-
Derry City
1:0
19.04.2024
Derry City
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:3
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:23 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 33:26 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Derry City | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | St. Patricks | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Waterford | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 8 | Galway | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Cork City | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
