Result
1:2
23/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 17
- Referee: Lynch M. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/350) | 84% (463/550) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/350) | 84% (463/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 40% (28/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (58/104) | 67% (62/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
- 9', Winchester C. 🟨,
- 15', Boyce L. 🟨,
- 19', O'Sullivan C. ↓, Honohan J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 59', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
- 60', Boyce L. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 61', Whyte G. ↓, McMullan P. ↑,
- 64', Burke G. ↓, Watts D. ↑,
- 64', Greene A. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
- 64', Nugent D. ↓, Mandroiu D. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Mullen D. ⚽, McMullan P. (A),
- 70', 1 - 1, Noonan M. ⚽,
- 77', Ferguson S. ↓, Doherty B. ↑,
- 77', Byrne J. ↓, McEneff A. ↑,
- 85', O'Reilly A. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
- 85', Duffy M. ↓, Hoban P. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, McEneff A. ⚽, Grant D. (A),
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+4', McEneff A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derry City
31.6% | Draw
31.8% | Shamrock Rovers
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-5%)
Derry City - Shamrock Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.62) |
2.95 ↓
(3.13) |
2.56 ↓
(2.77) |
6.7%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derry City - Shamrock Rovers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Shamrock will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Derry (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Shamrock (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 0.
- Derry is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shamrock is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Derry: Dummigan C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D.
(Injury)
Kavanagh S.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Derry: Diallo S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Shamrock: Robertson S.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Shamrock Rovers?
Derry City has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against Derry City?
Shamrock Rovers has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Shamrock Rovers were as follows:
28.03.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Derry City
0:0
20.09.2024
Derry City
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:1
20.05.2024
Shamrock Rovers
-
Derry City
1:0
19.04.2024
Derry City
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:3
04.03.2024
Shamrock Rovers
-
Derry City
2:2
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 49 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 30:22 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Derry City | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | St. Patricks | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Waterford | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 28:42 | -14 | 30 |
| 8 | Galway | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 23 |
| 10 | Cork City | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24:43 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
