Result
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 9
Chances of winning
Crema 25.2% | Draw 27.8% | Desenzano Calvina 47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crema than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Crema - Desenzano Calvina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.61 ↑ (3.55) |
3.26 ↑ (3.2) |
1.93 ↑ (1.92) |
10.1% (11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crema won 2.
- In recent matches, Crema has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Desenzano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Desenzano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Crema won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crema won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Crema won against Desenzano Calvina?
Crema has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desenzano Calvina won against Crema?
Desenzano Calvina has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crema - Desenzano Calvina were as follows:
14.04.2025
Crema
-
Desenzano Calvina
0:1
01.12.2024
Desenzano Calvina
-
Crema
2:0
17.01.2024
Crema
-
Desenzano Calvina
0:2
20.09.2023
Desenzano Calvina
-
Crema
2:3
Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lentigione | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Pistoiese | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Crema | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Desenzano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Piacenza | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Correggese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 | Sangiuliano City | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Imolese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Tropical Coriano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Pro Palazzolo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Trevigliese | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | SCD Progresso | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation