Result
3:1
01/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Gori M. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 1, Brighenti A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', 3 - 1, Gasperi M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Desenzano Calvina
55.9% | Draw
25.4% | Progresso
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Desenzano Calvina - Progresso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.62) |
3.58 ↓
(3.6) |
4.88 ↓
(5.04) |
9.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Desenzano is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Desenzano will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Desenzano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Desenzano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Desenzano Calvina won against Progresso?
Desenzano Calvina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progresso won against Desenzano Calvina?
Progresso has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Desenzano Calvina - Progresso were as follows:
28.09.2025
Progresso
-
Desenzano Calvina
0:1
Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
Latest results of Progresso
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 39 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 28 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 39 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 6 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | -19 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 32:48 | -16 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | -16 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 30:61 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | -55 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
