Result
1:2 OT
21/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | HBO Max, TNT, truTV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.23% (1/31) | 4.88% (2/41) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.12% (39/41) | 96.77% (30/31) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50.77 | 49.23 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 04:46, 1 - 0, Laughton S. (G), Jarnkrok C. (A), Lorentz S. (A2)
- 05:37, Cowan E. (2 min),
- 19:42, 1 - 1, Edvinsson S. (G), Raymond L. (A), Larkin D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:28, Bernard-Docker J. (2 min),
- 09:31, Van Riemsdyk J. (2 min),
- 14:49, Jarnkrok C. (2 min),
- 16:41, Laughton S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 03:08, 1 - 2, Larkin D. (G), Seider M. (A),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
42.3% | Draw
22.5% | Detroit Red Wings
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)The ML Model estimate for Toronto Maple Leafs aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.39) |
4.22 ↑
(4.04) |
2.68 ↑
(2.54) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Detroit will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Detroit (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
- In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Detroit is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Nylander W.
(Groin Injury)
Tanev C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:63. (average 3:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Detroit Red Wings?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 10 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Detroit Red Wings won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Detroit Red Wings has won 12 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings were as follows:
28.12.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:2
13.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Detroit Red Wings
2:3
11.10.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:3
04.10.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:5
02.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Detroit Red Wings
1:3
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Detroit Red Wings
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 60 | 38 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 230:149 | 91 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars | 61 | 31 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 212:165 | 85 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 62 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 209:180 | 82 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 62 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 205:197 | 72 |
| 5 | Anaheim Ducks | 61 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 24 | 205:212 | 71 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 62 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 196:169 | 70 |
| 7 | Edmonton Oilers | 62 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 220:210 | 68 |
| 8 | Seattle Kraken | 61 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 173:179 | 67 |
| 9 | San Jose Sharks | 59 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 25 | 186:207 | 64 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Kings | 61 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 160:182 | 64 |
| 11 | Nashville Predators | 62 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 185:213 | 64 |
| 12 | Winnipeg Jets | 61 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 175:187 | 60 |
| 13 | Chicago Blackhawks | 61 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 163:195 | 56 |
| 14 | St. Louis Blues | 61 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 159:210 | 55 |
| 15 | Calgary Flames | 61 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 150:185 | 55 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 61 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 157:230 | 43 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 61 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 214:175 | 84 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 60 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 211:162 | 80 |
| 3 | Buffalo Sabres | 62 | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 214:184 | 80 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 62 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 185:187 | 77 |
| 5 | Montreal Canadiens | 60 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 213:200 | 75 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 61 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 205:180 | 75 |
| 7 | New York Islanders | 63 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 186:182 | 75 |
| 8 | Boston Bruins | 61 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 205:194 | 73 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 61 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 196:193 | 72 |
| 10 | Ottawa Senators | 61 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 205:194 | 69 |
| 11 | Washington Capitals | 63 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 199:189 | 69 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Flyers | 61 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 177:191 | 67 |
| 13 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 63 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 200:221 | 65 |
| 14 | New Jersey Devils | 62 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 160:186 | 64 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 62 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 188:209 | 63 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 61 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 166:192 | 56 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
