Result
1:2 OT
21/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | HBO Max, TNT, truTV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.23% (1/31) | 4.88% (2/41) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.12% (39/41) | 96.77% (30/31) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50.77 | 49.23 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 04:46, 1 - 0, Laughton S. (G), Jarnkrok C. (A), Lorentz S. (A2)
- 05:37, Cowan E. (2 min),
- 19:42, 1 - 1, Edvinsson S. (G), Raymond L. (A), Larkin D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:28, Bernard-Docker J. (2 min),
- 09:31, Van Riemsdyk J. (2 min),
- 14:49, Jarnkrok C. (2 min),
- 16:41, Laughton S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 03:08, 1 - 2, Larkin D. (G), Seider M. (A),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
42.3% | Draw
22.5% | Detroit Red Wings
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)The ML Model estimate for Toronto Maple Leafs aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.39) |
4.22 ↑
(4.04) |
2.68 ↑
(2.54) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Detroit will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Detroit (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
- In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Detroit is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Nylander W.
(Groin Injury)
Tanev C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:63. (average 3:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Detroit Red Wings?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 10 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Detroit Red Wings won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Detroit Red Wings has won 12 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings were as follows:
28.12.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:2
13.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Detroit Red Wings
2:3
11.10.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:3
04.10.2025
Detroit Red Wings
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:5
02.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Detroit Red Wings
1:3
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Detroit Red Wings
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 71 | 42 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 266:179 | 106 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 72 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 245:198 | 97 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 73 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 239:210 | 94 |
| 4 | Anaheim Ducks | 72 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 27 | 243:247 | 86 |
| 5 | Edmonton Oilers | 73 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 254:249 | 81 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 73 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 229:210 | 80 |
| 7 | Vegas Golden Knights | 73 | 24 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 228:229 | 79 |
| 8 | Nashville Predators | 72 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 217:239 | 77 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 72 | 19 | 10 | 18 | 25 | 193:216 | 76 |
| 10 | Seattle Kraken | 71 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 204:221 | 74 |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets | 72 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 205:223 | 72 |
| 12 | San Jose Sharks | 70 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 212:251 | 71 |
| 13 | St. Louis Blues | 71 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 186:226 | 71 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 72 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 182:222 | 68 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 72 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 188:233 | 67 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 71 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 182:266 | 50 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 71 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 252:211 | 96 |
| 2 | Buffalo Sabres | 72 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 254:211 | 96 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 71 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 260:199 | 94 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 71 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 251:231 | 90 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 72 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 240:224 | 88 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 72 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 247:228 | 88 |
| 7 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 72 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 232:219 | 87 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 73 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 27 | 211:207 | 87 |
| 9 | Ottawa Senators | 72 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 242:220 | 86 |
| 10 | Detroit Red Wings | 71 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 207:211 | 84 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Flyers | 71 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 24 | 209:215 | 82 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 73 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 227:215 | 81 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 71 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 32 | 197:215 | 76 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 73 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 229:255 | 75 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 71 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 213:236 | 73 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 72 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 202:230 | 65 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
