Diletta Cherubini vs Alina Charaeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Huzhou Challenger Women Diletta Cherubini - Alina Charaeva
Result
1:2
11/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Huzhou, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
57
1st Serve Percentage
65%60%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (27/48)59% (24/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (13/26)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
41% (17/41)44% (21/48)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (13/27)50% (13/26)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
55% (41/75)56% (38/68)
Return Points Won
44% (30/68)45% (34/75)
Total Points Won
50% (71/143)50% (72/143)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
58% (7/12)64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)42% (5/12)
Total Games Won
48% (11/23)52% (12/23)

Chances of winning


Diletta Cherubini
22.4%
Alina Charaeva
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 69.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diletta Cherubini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diletta Cherubini's form might have worsened.
  • Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alina Charaeva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diletta Cherubini than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diletta Cherubini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Charaeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Diletta Cherubini - Alina Charaeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (2.97)

    1.22
    (1.36)
    5.8%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Cherubini is ranked WTA: 399. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 159.
    • Cherubini is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Charaeva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Charaeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Charaeva is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Cherubini will win today's game, with odds of 4.45.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Diletta Cherubini
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    03.09.2025 Xin Gao - Alina Charaeva Charaeva A. walkover
    01.09.2025 Ying Zhang - Alina Charaeva Zhang Y. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Yang Y. (WC)2 : 0
    2Zheng W.Pieri J. (Q)0 : 2
    3You X. (WC)Gasanova A.0 : 2
    4Lu J. (WC)Tararudee L. (5)1 : 2
    5Erjavec V. (3)Chang H. (Q)2 : 0
    6Saito S.Paquet C.0 : 2
    7Shimizu A.Okamura K.0 : 2
    8Zhao C.Wei S. (7)0 : 2
    9Hontama M. (6)Wang M. (WC)2 : 0
    10Shi H.Yao X.0 : 2
    11Cherubini D. (Q)Serban R.2 : 0
    12Liang E. S. (LL)Charaeva A. (9)1 : 2
    13Timofeeva M. (8)Park S.2 : 0
    14Ma Y.Friedsam A-L.0 : 2
    15Monnet C.Diyas Z.2 : 1
    16Kulambayeva Z. (Q)Garland J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Pieri J.1 : 2
    2Gasanova A.Tararudee L. (5)2 : 0
    3Erjavec V. (3)Paquet C.2 : 0
    4Okamura K.Wei S. (RET.) (7)1 : 1
    5Hontama M. (6)Yao X.2 : 0
    6Cherubini D.Charaeva A. (9)1 : 2
    7Timofeeva M. (8)Friedsam A-L.1 : 2
    8Monnet C.Garland J. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Pieri J.Gasanova A.0 : 2
    2Erjavec V. (3)Okamura K.2 : 0
    3Hontama M. (6)Charaeva A. (9)0 : 2
    4Friedsam A-L.Monnet C.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gasanova A.Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2
    2Charaeva A. (9)Monnet C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Erjavec V. (3)Charaeva A. (9)2 : 0