Result
1:3
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 33
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (266/354) | 77% (327/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (266/354) | 77% (327/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 44% (36/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (72/104) | 58% (62/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.51 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Rakitic I. 🟨,
- 42', Torrente R. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
- 43', Theophile-Catherine K. 🟨,
- 44', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Stojkovic L. ↓, Petkovic B. ↑,
- 50', Sigur N. ↓, Hrgovic S. ↑,
- 50', Diallo I. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Pierre-Gabriel R. ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 1, Livaja M. ⚽, Hrgovic S. (A),
- 59', Krovinovic F. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 2, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Pjaca M. (A),
- 64', 🟨,
- 69', Pjaca M. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 70', Krovinovic F. ↓, Pukstas R. ↑,
- 70', Rusyn N. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 76', Ristovski S. 🟨,
- 83', Sego M. ↓, Trajkovski A. ↑,
- 86', Baturina M. ↓, Rog M. ↑,
- 86', Kulenovic S. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
- 90+12', 1 - 3, Sucic P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
31.9% | Draw
30.7% | Dinamo Zagreb
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↓
(3.14) |
3.07 ↓
(3.23) |
2.5 ↑
(2.28) |
6.2%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 12% – 65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Dinamo Zagreb might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Biuk S.
(Injury)
Brajkovic R.
(Red Card)
Mlakar J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Ademi A.
(Inactive)
Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Franjic B.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Hajduk Split has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Hajduk Split?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
02.03.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
2:2
01.12.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:0
13.09.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
0:1
03.04.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
30.03.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
