Result
1:3
08/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (313/397) | 74% (256/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (313/397) | 74% (256/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 42% (28/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (53/94) | 67% (67/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Zajc M. ⚽, Bakrar M. (A),
- 11', 0 - 2, Vidovic G. ⚽, Beljo D. (A),
- 28', 1 - 2, Pukstas R. ⚽,
- 30', Guillamon H. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 3, Bakrar M. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hodak L. ↓, Sarlija Z. ↑,
- 48', Bakrar M. 🟨,
- 54', Misic J. 🟨,
- 65', Skoko N. ↓, Krovinovic F. ↑,
- 70', Goda B. ↓, Perez Vinlof M. ↑,
- 71', Valincic M. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
- 72', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 72', Guillamon H. ↓, Livaja M. ↑,
- 73', Brajkovic R. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 77', Zajc M. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 77', Bakrar M. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
- 90+2', Topic F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
27.7% | Draw
28% | Dinamo Zagreb
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.84) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
2.12 ↓
(2.32) |
7.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Dinamo Zagreb may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Dinamo Zagreb might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I.
(Inactive)
Diallo I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I.
(Injury)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Hoxha A.
(Inactive)
Varela C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Hajduk Split has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Hajduk Split?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
06.12.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
20.09.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:2
03.05.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:3
02.03.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
2:2
01.12.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:0
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Gorica | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 9 | Osijek | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
