Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (142/202) | 87% (409/471) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (142/202) | 87% (409/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (40/77) | 74% (93/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Fan Chao ⚽, Liu Hao (A),
- 39', Sihan W. 🟥,
- 45+6', 2 - 0, Feng Yifan ⚽, Liu Hao (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Tiago Fernandes ↑,
- 46', Ma Chenghao ↓, Erikys ↑,
- 52', Zhang Jiansheng ↓, Tang Shi ↑,
- 52', Fan Chao 🟥,
- 53', He Shaolin ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Xu Jiajun ⚽, Li Suda (A),
- 58', Liu Hao ↓, Yang Minjie ↑,
- 58', Asamoah S. ↓, Chen Quanjiang ↑,
- 60', Tang Shi 🟨,
- 69', Xiang Rongjun ↓, Huang Wei ↑,
- 69', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Wei Zixian ↑,
- 69', Hu Jiajin ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
- 79', Zhang Zimin ↓, Fan Bojian ↑,
- 82', You Wenjie ↓, Zhang Wei ↑,
- 86', 3 - 1, Zhang Wei ⚽, Cheukoua M. (A),
- 90+1', Chen Quanjiang 🟨,
- 90+4', Erikys 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
40.7% | Draw
31.1% | Dingnan United
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dingnan United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.48) |
3.13 ↑
(3.05) |
3.44 ↑
(2.65) |
3%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 7).
- Guangxi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dingnan United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won against Dingnan United?
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dingnan United won against Guangxi Pingguo Haliao?
Dingnan United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United were as follows:
27.04.2025
Dingnan United
-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
2:2
Latest results of Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Latest results of Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 57:26 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 50:32 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 46:30 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 6 | Nantong Zhiyun | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 43 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 38 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:41 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Juniors | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 35:56 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 27 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
