Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        13/07/2025 at  07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Jia League - Round 16
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.81 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 51% | 49% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (363/446) | 81% (363/448) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.81 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.03 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 16 | 12 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (363/446) | 81% (363/448) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 55% (35/64) | 44% (35/80) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 58% (86/148) | 56% (48/86) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 27% (3/11) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.57 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 21 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 100% (5/5) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 32 | 38 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 15 | 37 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 9 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.48 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.52 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
 - 12', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽, 
 - 38', 1 - 1, Ma Chenghao ⚽, Tang Shi (A), 
 - 45+4', Yang Yun 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 46', Zhu Haiwei ↓, Du Zhixuan ↑, 
 - 46', Ayovi J. ↓, Liu Ziming ↑, 
 - 61', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Wei Zixian ↑, 
 - 61', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Yang Fan ↑, 
 - 74', Ma Chenghao ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑, 
 - 74', Li Suda ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑, 
 - 74', Sihan W. ↓, Zhang Tianlong ↑, 
 - 75', Gao Huaze ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑, 
 - 75', Xu Junchi ↓, Zhao Yubo ↑, 
 - 78', Zhang Zimin ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑, 
 - 80', Xu Jiajun 🟨, 
 - 87', Gonzalez E. ↓, Sun Weizhe ↑, 
 - 89',  🟨, 
 - 90+7', Liu H. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Shijiazhuang Gongfu  54.1% | Draw  26.9% | Dingnan United  19% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.68 ↑ (1.53) | 
			   3.38 ↓ (3.74) | 
			   4.77 ↓ (5.61) | 
			   10.2% (9.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Shijiazhuang Gongfu will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shijiazhuang Gongfu (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 13).
 - Shijiazhuang Gongfu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - Dingnan United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
 - Shijiazhuang Gongfu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, Shijiazhuang Gongfu is seen as the favorite.
 - In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Shijiazhuang Gongfu won against Dingnan United?
                    
                    
                        
                            Shijiazhuang Gongfu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Dingnan United won against Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
                    
                    
                        
                             Dingnan United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United were as follows:
                                                        
                                16.03.2025 
                                Dingnan United 
                                - 
                                Shijiazhuang Gongfu 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Shijiazhuang Gongfu                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Dingnan United                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren ✔  | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 59:27 | 32 | 65 | 
| 2 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 52:34 | 18 | 57 | 
| 3 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 50:32 | 18 | 57 | 
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 37:24 | 13 | 52 | 
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 46 | 
| 6 | Dingnan Ganlian | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 | 
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 43 | 
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 | 
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:46 | -3 | 36 | 
| 10 | Nanjing City | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:42 | -3 | 36 | 
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 | 
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 26:42 | -16 | 30 | 
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 29 | 
| 14 | Guangxi Pingguo | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | -19 | 25 | 
| 15 | Shenzhen Juniors | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | -23 | 25 | 
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions ✔  | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 19:48 | -29 | 13 | 
      Promotion ~ Super League
      Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Liaoning Tieren is Qualified for Super League
Qingdao Red Lions is Relegated to League Two