Result
1:1
13/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.04 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (363/446) | 81% (363/448) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.04 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.48 | 1.03 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
81% (363/446) | 81% (363/448) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (35/64) | 44% (35/80) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (86/148) | 56% (48/86) |
Crosses |
---|
12% (3/26) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.57 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (4/6) | 100% (5/5) |
Duels won |
---|
32 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.03 | 0.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Ma Chenghao ⚽, Tang Shi (A),
- 45+4', Yang Yun 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Zhu Haiwei ↓, Du Zhixuan ↑,
- 46', Ayovi J. ↓, Liu Ziming ↑,
- 61', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Wei Zixian ↑,
- 61', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
- 74', Ma Chenghao ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
- 74', Li Suda ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑,
- 74', Sihan W. ↓, Zhang Tianlong ↑,
- 75', Gao Huaze ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
- 75', Xu Junchi ↓, Zhao Yubo ↑,
- 78', Zhang Zimin ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,
- 80', Xu Jiajun 🟨,
- 87', Gonzalez E. ↓, Sun Weizhe ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+7', Liu H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 54.1% | Draw 26.9% | Dingnan United 19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shijiazhuang Gongfu's form might have worsened.Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-3%)
Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↑ (1.53) |
3.38 ↓ (3.74) |
4.77 ↓ (5.61) |
10.2% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Shijiazhuang Gongfu will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shijiazhuang Gongfu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 13).
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dingnan United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shijiazhuang Gongfu is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Shijiazhuang Gongfu won against Dingnan United?
Shijiazhuang Gongfu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dingnan United won against Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
Dingnan United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United were as follows:
16.03.2025
Dingnan United
-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2:2
Latest results of Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Latest results of Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liaoning Tieren | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 43:18 | 25 | 44 |
2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 42:21 | 21 | 43 |
3 | Yanbian Longding | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 32 |
4 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 31 |
5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 30 |
6 | Dalian K'un City | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 24:22 | 2 | 26 |
8 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 25 |
9 | Nanjing City | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 23 |
11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 22 |
12 | Shaanxi Union | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Foshan Nanshi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 18 |
15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 12:29 | -17 | 11 |
16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 11:26 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League