Estepona vs Diocesano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/04/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 30

Chances of winning


Estepona
51.7%
Draw
28.1%
Diocesano
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 28.6% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 27.5% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estepona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Estepona - Diocesano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.67)
    3.24
    (3.2)
    4.51
    (5.55)
    9.8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Estepona is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Diocesano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Estepona is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Estepona to win the game is with odds 1.69.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Estepona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estepona - Diocesano were as follows:
    04.12.2022 Diocesano - Estepona 0:1
    Latest results of Estepona
    09.04.2023 Cacereño - Estepona 0:0
    02.04.2023 Estepona - Villanovense 2:0
    26.03.2023 Atlético Paso - Estepona 0:1
    19.03.2023 Estepona - Melilla 1:0
    12.03.2023 Navalcarnero - Estepona 0:0
    Latest results of Diocesano
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Majadahonda24157237:142352
    2San Sebastian Reyes24154535:191649
    3Conquense241010427:22540
    4Getafe B23116638:261239
    5Orihuela25108735:27838
    6CD Coria24107730:23737
    7Tenerife B23114837:34337
    8CF Intercity2598836:34235
    9Las Palmas B2396832:27533
    10Ilicitano24710738:37131
    11Navalcarnero2479828:32-430
    12RSD Alcala2478926:31-529
    13Fuenlabrada25771127:30-328
    14Rayo Vallecano B24821425:39-1426
    15Colonia M24661226:44-1824
    16Real Madrid C24561327:37-1021
    17Quintanar del Rey24551422:31-920
    18Socuellamos24471320:39-1919

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