Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | WebDirecto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Lorenzo O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 1 - 1, Duarte J. ⚽,
- 71', Ayala 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estepona
45.5% | Draw
28.7% | Melilla
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Estepona - Melilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.19) |
3.22 ↑
(2.92) |
3.58 ↑
(3.48) |
8.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Estepona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Melilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Estepona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Estepona is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estepona won against Melilla?
Estepona has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melilla won against Estepona?
Melilla has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estepona - Melilla were as follows:
07.12.2025
Melilla
-
Estepona
3:0
24.08.2025
Estepona
-
Melilla
0:2
19.03.2023
Estepona
-
Melilla
1:0
30.10.2022
Melilla
-
Estepona
0:0
Latest results of Estepona
Latest results of Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52:37 | 15 | 60 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 60 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Jaen | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 57 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 31:24 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:40 | 9 | 55 |
| 7 | Recreativo Huelva | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38:23 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Linares | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 41:43 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Lorca Deportiva | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 32:32 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | Antoniano | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 37:39 | -2 | 43 |
| 12 | CD Estepona | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:43 | -4 | 43 |
| 13 | La Union | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 43:43 | 0 | 42 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C. ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla ✔ | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 26:51 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 29:63 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Xerez D.F.C. is Relegated to
Melilla is Relegated to
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
