Diocesano vs Montijo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Trinidad J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Diocesano
31.2%
Draw
29.6%
Montijo
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 31.5% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 29.9% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Diocesano - Montijo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.84)
    3.1
    (2.87)
    2.34
    (2.46)
    9.2%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1.
    • Diocesano is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Montijo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Montijo were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Montijo - Diocesano 1:1
    02.03.2025 Montijo - Diocesano 1:1
    20.10.2024 Diocesano - Montijo 2:3
    14.05.2023 Montijo - Diocesano 1:1
    15.01.2023 Diocesano - Montijo 3:2
    Latest results of Diocesano
    25.01.2026 Moralo - Diocesano 2:1
    18.01.2026 Diocesano - Jerez 1:5
    11.01.2026 Villafranca - Diocesano 1:0
    04.01.2026 Diocesano - Don Benito 0:1
    20.12.2025 Santa Amalia - Diocesano 1:0
    Latest results of Montijo
    25.01.2026 Montijo - Villafranca 0:1
    18.01.2026 Don Benito - Montijo 2:0
    11.01.2026 Santa Amalia - Montijo 1:0
    04.01.2026 Montijo - Azuaga 2:1
    21.12.2025 Gévora - Montijo 1:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

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