Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Robinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Moralo
59.3% | Draw
23% | Diocesano
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Moralo - Diocesano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.56) |
3.96 ↑
(3.59) |
5.15 ↓
(5.3) |
9.8%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 0.
- Moralo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Diocesano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Moralo is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Moralo will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moralo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Moralo won against Diocesano?
Moralo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Moralo?
Diocesano has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moralo - Diocesano were as follows:
14.09.2025
Diocesano
-
Moralo
4:4
16.02.2025
Moralo
-
Diocesano
1:2
06.10.2024
Diocesano
-
Moralo
1:0
04.02.2024
Moralo
-
Diocesano
0:3
24.09.2023
Diocesano
-
Moralo
1:0
Latest results of Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
