Result
Postponed
08/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21
Chances of winning
Pueblonuevo
25.8% | Draw
29% | Diocesano
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pueblonuevo's form might have worsened.Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diocesano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diocesano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pueblonuevo - Diocesano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↑
(2.9) |
3.13 ↑
(2.97) |
2.01 ↓
(2.4) |
10.1%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Pueblonuevo won against Diocesano?
Pueblonuevo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Pueblonuevo?
Diocesano has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pueblonuevo - Diocesano were as follows:
28.09.2025
Diocesano
-
Pueblonuevo
2:0
11.05.2025
Pueblonuevo
-
Diocesano
3:2
12.01.2025
Diocesano
-
Pueblonuevo
6:1
18.02.2024
Diocesano
-
Pueblonuevo
1:0
Latest results of Pueblonuevo
Latest results of Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 50:15 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Moralo | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 44 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Cabeza del Buey | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Azuaga | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34:24 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Llerenense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
| 10 | Villafranca | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Montijo | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Puebla | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Gevora | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22:37 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17:44 | -27 | 15 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17:46 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
