Diocesano vs Trujillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/01/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Aaron ,
  • 6', 1 - 1, Angelito ,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Mena I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Diocesano
70.1%
Draw
18.6%
Trujillo
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 19.2% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 11.4% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Trujillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-29.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diocesano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trujillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Diocesano - Trujillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.33)
    4.89
    (4.7)
    7.99
    (7)
    10.2%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Diocesano won 4.
    • Diocesano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Trujillo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recently Trujillo have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Diocesano is certain favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Diocesano won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:8 (average 2.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Diocesano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Trujillo were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Trujillo - Diocesano 1:4
    21.04.2024 Trujillo - Diocesano 0:1
    03.12.2023 Diocesano - Trujillo 1:2
    Latest results of Diocesano
    12.01.2025 Diocesano - Pueblonuevo 6:1
    15.12.2024 Diocesano - CD Extremadura 0:1
    08.12.2024 Jaraíz - Diocesano 3:0
    01.12.2024 Diocesano - Arroyo 0:0
    Latest results of Trujillo
    12.01.2025 Azuaga - Trujillo 3:0
    15.12.2024 Badajoz - Trujillo 4:0
    07.12.2024 Pueblonuevo - Trujillo 2:2
    24.11.2024 CD Extremadura - Trujillo 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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