Diocesano vs Puebla de la Calzada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Diocesano
42.1%
Draw
28.6%
Puebla de la Calzada
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 28.5% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 27.8% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Diocesano - Puebla de la Calzada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.13)
    3.18
    (3.19)
    3.09
    (3.14)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Diocesano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Puebla de la Calzada were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Puebla de la Calzada - Diocesano 2:1
    04.05.2025 Diocesano - Puebla de la Calzada 2:1
    22.12.2024 Puebla de la Calzada - Diocesano 2:1
    Latest results of Diocesano
    22.03.2026 Jaraíz - Diocesano 3:0
    15.03.2026 Diocesano - Montehermoso 0:0
    08.03.2026 Villanovense - Diocesano 5:1
    22.02.2026 Llerenense - Diocesano 3:0
    Latest results of Puebla de la Calzada
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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