Result
1:1
29/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 29
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Abubakar S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 79', 1 - 1, Yesouf A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Adama City
30.1% | Draw
36.5% | Dire Dawa City
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adama City's form might have worsened.Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adama City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Adama City - Dire Dawa City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.47) |
2.49 ↓
(2.75) |
2.73 ↓
(2.94) |
9.9%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Adama City - Dire Dawa City?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Adama City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dire Dawa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 16)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 1.
- Adama City is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Dire Dawa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Adama City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Adama City won against Dire Dawa City?
Adama City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dire Dawa City won against Adama City?
Dire Dawa City has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adama City - Dire Dawa City were as follows:
21.12.2025
Dire Dawa City
-
Adama City
1:1
02.04.2025
Adama City
-
Dire Dawa City
1:3
01.11.2024
Dire Dawa City
-
Adama City
1:1
09.05.2024
Dire Dawa City
-
Adama City
1:1
01.11.2023
Adama City
-
Dire Dawa City
2:1
Latest results of Adama City
Latest results of Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 55 |
| 2 | Mechal | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 | Hawassa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sheger Ketema | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | St. George | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 35 |
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Adama City | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Dire Dawa | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 18:23 | -5 | 30 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 30 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 25 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
