Diyala vs Al-Naft – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Stars League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
iraqIraqIraqia Kurdish, Iraqia Syriac

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Abd A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 88', Salim K. 🟥,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Diyala
33.9%
Draw
33.2%
Al-Naft
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 31.1% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 30.4% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diyala's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diyala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Naft, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Diyala - Al-Naft Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.24)
    2.7
    (2.92)
    2.73
    (3.19)
    11.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Diyala is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Naft's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Diyala might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diyala - Al-Naft were as follows:
    09.01.2026 Al-Naft - Diyala 2:1
    10.04.2025 Al-Naft - Diyala 2:0
    01.12.2024 Diyala - Al-Naft 0:0
    Latest results of Diyala
    13.04.2026 Al-Karkh - Diyala 0:2
    09.04.2026 Diyala - Naft Maysan 1:0
    04.04.2026 Diyala - Newroz 1:1
    31.03.2026 Al-Qasim - Diyala 0:4
    27.03.2026 Diyala - Najaf 1:2
    Latest results of Al-Naft
    14.04.2026 Al-Naft - Arbil 0:2
    09.04.2026 Al-Naft - Al-Gharraf 1:0
    30.03.2026 Al-Talaba - Al-Naft 0:0
    25.03.2026 Al-Qasim - Al-Naft 0:2
    Iraqi Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Quwa Al Jawiya32228251:203174
    2Al Shorta32207561:303167
    3Erbil32199446:262066
    4Al Talaba32187747:301761
    5Al Zawraa321514345:271859
    6Al-Karma321411744:242053
    7Zakho31149840:301051
    8Al Karkh321310938:32649
    9Newroz321451342:38447
    10Diyala321191236:34242
    11Duhok321191235:36-142
    12Al Mosul3210111136:40-441
    13Al Naft329121128:28039
    14Al Gharraf321081433:35-238
    15Baghdad32961739:57-1833
    16Al Minaa31881530:38-832
    17Naft Missan31791534:49-1530
    18Al Kahraba31832035:47-1227
    19Al Najaf30432322:54-3215
    20Al-Qassim32042813:80-674

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