Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Abdulkadhim S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, Mahmoud A. ⚽,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Ahmed S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Shorta Baghdad
65.6% | Draw
22.9% | Diyala
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.34) |
3.94 ↓
(4.27) |
7.88 ↓
(8.75) |
10.7%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Shorta will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Al-Shorta (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).
- Al-Shorta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Diyala has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Shorta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Shorta is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Al-Shorta will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Shorta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Diyala?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Diyala has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala were as follows:
18.05.2025
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Diyala
1:0
26.09.2024
Diyala
-
Al-Shorta Baghdad
0:6
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Al-Karma | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Erbil | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Zakho | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 25:16 | 9 | 34 |
| 7 | Al Zawraa | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 31 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Al Gharraf | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Diyala | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
| 11 | Duhok | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Newroz | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 21:26 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:27 | -9 | 22 |
| 14 | Al Naft | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13:35 | -22 | 8 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 19 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6:44 | -38 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
