Djurgården vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Djurgården - Legia Warsaw
Result
3:1
19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Smajc D. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.551.06
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1215
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
37
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
36
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1314
Offsides
03
Fouls
1413
Yellow Cards
34
Throw-ins
2113
Touches in the Opposition Box
2332
Passes
76% (308/404)74% (231/314)
Passes in the final third
67% (77/115)61% (66/109)
Crosses
17% (2/12)20% (4/20)
Tackles
39% (11/28)80% (12/15)
Clearances Total
2542
Interceptions
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Nguen T. C. , Stensson D. (A),
  • 43', Sabovic B. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, Hummet D. , Nguen T. C. (A),
  • 45+5', Gual M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Feio G. 🟨,
  • 45+11', Morishita R. 🟨,
  • 45+15', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
  • 45+16', Danielson M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 2 - 1, Wszolek P. , Chodyna K. (A),
  • 62', Gulliksen T. , Aslund P. ,
  • 63', Goncalves C. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 63', Kapuadi S. , Ziolkowski J. ,
  • 72', Chodyna K. 🟨,
  • 72', Celhaka J. , Jedrzejczyk A. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Aslund P. , Stensson D. (A),
  • 81', Chodyna K. , Szczepaniak M. ,
  • 81', Luquinhas , Adkonis J. ,
  • 84', Kosugi K. 🟨,
  • 89', Stensson D. , Schuller R. ,
  • 89', Wikheim G. , Radetinac H. ,
  • 90+4', Nguen T. C. , Fallenius O. ,
  • 90+4', Hummet D. , Haarala S. ,

Chances of winning


Djurgården
47.9%
Draw
26%
Legia Warsaw
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 28.5% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 28.8% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Djurgården's performance.
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Djurgården that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Djurgården - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.49)
    3.6
    (3.32)
    3.6
    (2.83)
    6.3%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Djurgården - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Djurgården will win (votes: 38 - 76%). Legia will win (votes: 5 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 64.2%87.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Djurgården in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Legia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
    • Djurgården will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Djurgården: Johansson P. (Knee Injury) Tenho M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R. (Injury) Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Kapustka B. (Yellow Cards) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Oyedele M. (Ankle Injury) Pankov R. (Red Card) Tobiasz K. (Arm Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Djurgården
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    12.12.2024 Legia Warsaw - Lugano 1:2
    01.12.2024 Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw 2:2
    28.11.2024 Omonia - Legia Warsaw 0:3
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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