Montehermoso vs Don Álvaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Montehermoso - Don Álvaro
Result
1:2
18/02/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 22

Chances of winning


Montehermoso
45%
Draw
29.2%
Don Álvaro
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 27.9% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 30.1% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Don Álvaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montehermoso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Don Álvaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montehermoso - Don Álvaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.82)
    3.08
    (3.25)
    3.48
    (4.09)
    11.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Montehermoso is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Don Álvaro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Don Álvaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Montehermoso is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Montehermoso won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montehermoso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montehermoso - Don Álvaro were as follows:
    08.10.2023 Don Álvaro - Montehermoso 1:1
    06.04.2023 Montehermoso - Don Álvaro 2:0
    11.12.2022 Don Álvaro - Montehermoso 1:0
    Latest results of Montehermoso
    Latest results of Don Álvaro
    11.02.2024 Don Álvaro - Jaraíz 2:0
    04.02.2024 Trujillo - Don Álvaro 1:1
    28.01.2024 Don Álvaro - Coria 1:1
    21.01.2024 Calamonte - Don Álvaro 1:0
    14.01.2024 Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo 4:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2