Montehermoso vs Villafranca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Bora ,

Chances of winning


Montehermoso
30%
Draw
30.2%
Villafranca
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 31.6% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 31.8% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montehermoso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Montehermoso aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Montehermoso - Villafranca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (3.05)
    3
    (2.88)
    2.28
    (2.36)
    10.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • Recent form of Montehermoso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Villafranca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montehermoso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montehermoso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montehermoso - Villafranca were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Villafranca - Montehermoso 1:0
    28.01.2024 Villafranca - Montehermoso 4:0
    17.09.2023 Montehermoso - Villafranca 2:0
    19.02.2023 Montehermoso - Villafranca 1:1
    16.10.2022 Villafranca - Montehermoso 2:2
    Latest results of Montehermoso
    01.03.2026 Don Benito - Montehermoso 3:1
    14.02.2026 Azuaga - Montehermoso 1:0
    08.02.2026 Montehermoso - Gévora 1:3
    01.02.2026 Calamonte - Montehermoso 0:0
    Latest results of Villafranca
    01.03.2026 Villafranca - Villanovense 1:1
    15.02.2026 Villafranca - Llerenense 2:1
    08.02.2026 Badajoz - Villafranca 1:0
    01.02.2026 Villafranca - Pueblonuevo 4:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito33217569:214870
    2CD Badajoz33225661:273468
    3Azuaga33188753:302362
    4Moralo331710653:312261
    5Jaraiz331511752:331956
    6Cabeza del Buey331412744:291554
    7Villafranca331661141:36554
    8Villanovense331581045:351053
    9Montijo331271441:41043
    10Jerez CF33717951:50138
    11Puebla339111335:47-1238
    12Llerenense331081532:43-1138
    13Santa Amalia33971729:50-2134
    14Gevora33891632:50-1833
    15Pueblonuevo33861928:55-2730
    16Diocesano336111629:59-3029
    17Montehermoso33582023:61-3823
    18CD Calamonte333131724:44-2022

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