Plasencia vs Don Álvaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Plasencia - Don Álvaro
04/02/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Plasencia
53.9%
Draw
26.5%
Don Álvaro
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 28.4% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 28% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plasencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plasencia's performance.
  • Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Álvaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plasencia than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plasencia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Álvaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Plasencia - Don Álvaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (2.17)
    3.38
    (3.2)
    4.56
    (3.06)
    11.7%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plasencia - Don Álvaro were as follows:
    02.10.2022 Don Álvaro - Plasencia 2:2
    Latest results of Plasencia
    29.01.2023 Calamonte - Plasencia 0:1
    22.01.2023 Plasencia - Azuaga 1:2
    15.01.2023 Jerez - Plasencia 1:0
    08.01.2023 Llerenense - Plasencia 3:1
    Latest results of Don Álvaro
    29.01.2023 Don Álvaro - Azuaga 0:4
    22.01.2023 Llerenense - Don Álvaro 4:1
    15.01.2023 Don Álvaro - La Estrella 3:3
    08.01.2023 Don Álvaro - Olivenza 1:0
    18.12.2022 Pueblonuevo - Don Álvaro 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2