Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 11
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (323/420) | 56% (131/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (323/420) | 56% (131/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (22/67) | 36% (25/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (81/137) | 53% (54/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Pearson M. ⚽, Gibson J. (A),
- 33', Hartridge A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Chauke K. ↑,
- 46', Delap F. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
- 46', Godwin-Malife U. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
- 52', Evans G. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Shade T. ⚽, Webster C. (A),
- 72', Sbarra J. 🟨,
- 75', Close B. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
- 75', Gibson J. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
- 75', Sharp B. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 76', Sbarra J. ↓, Ajayi D. ↑,
- 82', Molyneux L. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Doncaster Rovers
54.1% | Draw
24.2% | Burton Albion
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.63) |
3.86 ↓
(4) |
4.33 ↓
(4.71) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Doncaster Rovers will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 3.
- Doncaster has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Burton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Doncaster is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Doncaster: Clifton H.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Tavares F.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Burton Albion?
Doncaster Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Doncaster Rovers?
Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion were as follows:
07.11.2023
Doncaster Rovers
-
Burton Albion
2:1
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 15 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
