Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 11
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.88
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
77% (323/420)56% (131/234)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.76
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
3230
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
117
Passes
77% (323/420)56% (131/234)
Long passes
33% (22/67)36% (25/70)
Passes in final third
59% (81/137)53% (54/101)
Crosses
29% (6/21)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.97
Throw-ins
2328
Fouls
711
Tackles
35% (6/17)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
5125
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.761.36
Goals prevented
-0.240.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Pearson M. , Gibson J. (A),
  • 33', Hartridge A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', McKiernan J. J. , Chauke K. ,
  • 46', Delap F. , Sibbick T. ,
  • 46', Godwin-Malife U. , Shade T. ,
  • 52', Evans G. , Williams D. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Shade T. , Webster C. (A),
  • 72', Sbarra J. 🟨,
  • 75', Close B. , Broadbent G. ,
  • 75', Gibson J. , Hanlan B. ,
  • 75', Sharp B. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 76', Sbarra J. , Ajayi D. ,
  • 82', Molyneux L. , Middleton G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Doncaster Rovers
54.1%
Draw
24.2%
Burton Albion
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 23.2% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 22.5% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.63)
    3.86
    (4)
    4.33
    (4.71)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 3.
    • Doncaster has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Burton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Doncaster is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Clifton H. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J. (Ankle Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Vancooten T. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Tavares F. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion were as follows:
    07.11.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1382321:111026
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1465319:15423
    8Mansfield1354419:15419
    9Huddersfield1261518:15319
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Wigan1445517:18-117
    12Northampton1352610:12-217
    13Doncaster1352612:18-617
    14Exeter1451814:14016
    15Luton1251614:15-116
    16Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    17Reading1335514:18-414
    18Rotherham1242612:16-414
    19Wycombe1334615:16-113
    20Port Vale1334611:12-113
    21Plymouth1341817:23-613
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two