Result
1:2
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (240/344) | 58% (121/207) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (240/344) | 58% (121/207) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/71) | 23% (17/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (77/136) | 41% (34/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (9/50) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 64 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Molyneux L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12', 0 - 2, Bailey O. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
- 29', Gotts R. 🟨,
- 45+1', Senior J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Armer J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
- 46', Adom K. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
- 46', Sibbick T. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
- 60', Lee E. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
- 66', Chauke K. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Lofthouse K. ⚽, Evans G. (A),
- 78', Beesley J. 🟨,
- 78', Adelakun H. ↓, Pearson M. ↑,
- 90', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
31.7% | Draw
28.6% | Doncaster Rovers
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)The ML Model estimate for Burton Albion aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↓
(2.95) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
2.37 ↓
(2.38) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Doncaster will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Burton (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burton (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- Burton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Doncaster is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Doncaster: Close B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U.
(Inactive)
McKiernan J. J.
(Inactive)
Revan S.
(Inactive)
Webster C.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Doncaster Rovers?
Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Burton Albion?
Doncaster Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
04.10.2025
Doncaster Rovers
-
Burton Albion
1:1
07.11.2023
Doncaster Rovers
-
Burton Albion
2:1
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
